Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7dc069ed1fa05b964f3fcf5a201fc5f19c812d7f2f1328b2c922abab8dc250e

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cabo Verdeof Argentina, Cabo Verde
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,541,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,669,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,541,320 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,755 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9d5d…e218backed Cabo Verde	33c	704,580$234,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470,541.26	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c2…2ab0backed Argentina	68c	636,789$433,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433,016.27	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.37per pick	50cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Cabo Verde	39c	249,999$96,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153,749.51	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Cabo Verde	32c	181,172$58,649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122,522.98	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Argentina	63c	176,833$110,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110,582.18	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Argentina	68c	175,366$119,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119,249.12	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Argentina	52c	164,430$84,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84,809.11	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Cabo Verde	32c	157,100$50,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106,827.94	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Cabo Verde	32c	152,644$48,846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103,797.66	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Cabo Verde	35c	149,999$52,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97,499.5	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+6.9wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Argentina	61c	141,156$86,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86,326.72	89	52.8%47 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Argentina	68c	120,000$81,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,599.93	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Cabo Verde	38c	106,167$39,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66,296.68	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Cabo Verde	32c	101,632$32,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,079.68	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cabo Verde	32c	93,225$29,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,607.35	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Argentina	69c	92,000$63,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63,480	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed Cabo Verde	32c	89,000$28,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,520	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Argentina	65c	88,712$57,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,579.48	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Argentina	68c	87,135$59,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,000	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cabo Verde	42c	86,930$36,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,382.59	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Cabo Verde	32c	85,000$27,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,800	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Argentina	64c	79,486$50,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,991.84	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Cabo Verde	32c	70,000$22,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,599.94	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Argentina	59c	68,645$40,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,300	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Cabo Verde	29c	67,197$19,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,913.98	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Cabo Verde	32c	62,771$20,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,386.09	213	33.3%71 W · 142 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Argentina	66c	60,001$39,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,490.69	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x457f…2a64backed Argentina	62c	59,589$36,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,945.45	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed Cabo Verde	32c	59,200$18,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,255.85	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Argentina	67c	54,938$36,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,808.24	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-7.2wins	-0.22per pick	43cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Cabo Verde	32c	54,843$17,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,293.24	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Argentina	67c	54,025$36,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,252.79	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Cabo Verde	34c	51,588$17,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,988.31	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eef…8a22backed Argentina	0c	48,320$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Argentina	66c	47,988$31,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,804.16	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Cabo Verde	35c	46,204$16,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,158.83	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471d…2fa7backed Argentina	58c	46,147$26,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,765.16	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+3.5wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Argentina	31c	44,276$13,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,625.02	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Cabo Verde	31c	43,787$13,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,212.87	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked Cabo Verde	32c	42,000$13,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,559.92	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+56.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Argentina	68c	36,495$24,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,816.71	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Cabo Verde	32c	34,269$10,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,302.85	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Cabo Verde	36c	31,290$11,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,007.29	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Cabo Verde	33c	30,779$10,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,729.38	258	44.6%115 W · 143 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Argentina	68c	30,379$20,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,807.18	100	57%57 W · 43 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Argentina	68c	30,000$20,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,399.99	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Argentina	72c	30,000$21,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,599.99	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x928b…ccf4backed Cabo Verde	33c	29,757$9,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,937.08	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Argentina	66c	28,337$18,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,782.29	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cd…a835backed Argentina	69c	23,540$16,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,242.51	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Argentina	65c	20,736$13,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,557.83	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe36f…cd91backed Argentina	68c	20,000$13,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,600	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	64cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5c…174ebacked Argentina	65c	20,000$13,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,999.99	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Argentina	68c	20,000$13,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,599.99	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Argentina	61c	20,000$12,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,199.96	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Cabo Verde	32c	19,450$6,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,211.5	110	31.8%35 W · 75 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Argentina	72c	18,879$13,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,592.86	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Cabo Verde	33c	18,500$6,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,384.86	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Argentina	68c	17,817$12,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,115.56	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cabo Verde	33c	17,440$5,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,599.57	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Cabo Verde	33c	17,000$5,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,369.97	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Argentina	64c	16,985$10,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,855.09	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Cabo Verde	27c	15,837$4,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,560.79	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Cabo Verde	33c	15,500$5,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,334.9	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Argentina	65c	15,385$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	137	25.5%35 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Argentina	47c	15,177$7,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,195.34	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Cabo Verde	44c	15,000$6,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,400	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Argentina	67c	15,000$10,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,100	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Argentina	73c	15,000$10,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,950	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Argentina	66c	14,931$9,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,904	79	72.2%57 W · 22 L	+10.3wins	+0.13per pick	59cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked Cabo Verde	32c	14,911$4,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,139.48	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Argentina	67c	14,900$9,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,983	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Argentina	69c	14,493$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7982…51a4backed Argentina	69c	14,493$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Cabo Verde	33c	14,319$4,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,595.8	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Cabo Verde	33c	14,090$4,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,374.6	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Cabo Verde	32c	13,995$4,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,501.7	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Cabo Verde	40c	13,651$5,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,141.87	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Cabo Verde	33c	13,600$4,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,083.98	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb82…f6babacked Cabo Verde	32c	12,820$4,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,717.6	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Argentina	68c	12,383$8,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,460.73	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Argentina	62c	12,364$7,618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,618.4	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Cabo Verde	32c	11,920$3,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,105.6	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Cabo Verde	32c	11,648$3,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,920.64	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Argentina	25c	11,396$2,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,885.54	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd016…6114backed Argentina	67c	10,995$7,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,402.49	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Argentina	33c	10,939$3,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,605.79	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Argentina	50c	10,930$5,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,454.44	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Argentina	27c	10,840$2,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,926.72	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Argentina	75c	10,837$8,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,127.89	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Cabo Verde	24c	10,417$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,916.67	130	36.2%47 W · 83 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Argentina	68c	10,294$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d67…ab42backed Cabo Verde	32c	10,005$3,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,803.36	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Cabo Verde	34c	10,000$3,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,600	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Argentina	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Cabo Verde	32c	10,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,799.98	78	59%46 W · 32 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Cabo Verde	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,699.86	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Cabo Verde	40c	9,084$3,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,448	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Cabo Verde	35c	9,000$3,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,894.81	335	49%164 W · 171 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Argentina	66c	8,900$5,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,874.12	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)this page
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-4.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event