Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aea3fd88748c45ceed896f00c03b62d14e410ae3780c0fc0edbb778aaea966e

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $218,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $215,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,441 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	7c	22,484$1,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,601.68	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…b875backed Over	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec37…3645backed Over	7c	13,143$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	1c	12,979$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.03	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	4c	10,061$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.72	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945d…4c3dbacked Over	8c	7,548$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.87	41	7.3%3 W · 38 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	7c	7,156$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.46	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	6c	7,016$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.91	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	6c	5,489$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.9	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	9c	5,363$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.24	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	7c	3,502$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.64	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf748…c387backed Over	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	6c	2,266$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.08	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	8c	2,198$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.5	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	6c	2,023$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.74	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf6…22a9backed Over	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	7c	1,415$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.26	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	1c	1,329$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over	8c	1,321$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd380…0700backed Over	8c	1,223$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…3066backed Over	9c	1,127$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	3c	1,002$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.06	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Over	6c	999.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	27cpaid	+97.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over	7c	957.14$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	167	47.3%79 W · 88 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	9c	855.22$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.48	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Over	12c	847.46$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0840…f4d9backed Over	7c	841.56$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.71	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…2602backed Over	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Over	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	109	18.3%20 W · 89 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa05e…52c7backed Over	3c	800$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Over	3c	799.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over	9c	776.98$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.37	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Over	6c	666.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	196	18.4%36 W · 160 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	15c	641.12$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.81	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over	6c	636.5$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.19	188	27.7%52 W · 136 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbf…79c3backed Over	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over	8c	600$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.3	238	20.6%49 W · 189 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3636…4a00backed Over	7c	556.57$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.71	47	6.4%3 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	5c	540$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Over	8c	523.81$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	133	28.6%38 W · 95 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	5c	414.36$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.68	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	8c	406.06$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.26	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…a581backed Over	6c	344.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a5b…3772backed Over	6c	342.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	5c	324.2$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	16c	322.01$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	285	45.3%129 W · 156 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	6c	316.61$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Over	6c	283.33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf85b…48b9backed Over	9c	280.9$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over	6c	276.58$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.59	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…e90fbacked Over	8c	259.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over	8c	245$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75c6…86b4backed Over	8c	244.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.22	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over	6c	225$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	226	23.5%53 W · 173 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x587c…9c4ebacked Over	7c	224.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	100	19%19 W · 81 L	-11.2wins	-0.11per pick	30cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Over	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8527…009bbacked Over	11c	183.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	9c	183$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.47	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f28…75c6backed Over	6c	178$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc85c…d3e8backed Over	10c	130.82$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over	9c	113.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.61	324	33.6%109 W · 215 L	-17.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5this page
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-4.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event