TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Argentina (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cabo Verdeof Argentina, Cabo Verde
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,208 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x06bc…1219backed Argentina3c34,020$1,154 inLost-$1,153.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc289…05b9backed Argentina3c6,615$231 inLost-$231.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Argentina3c5,445$190 inLost-$189.619125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Argentina4c2,579$100 inLost-$10022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Argentina4c1,327$49 inLost-$49.286749.3%33 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Argentina3c1,000$31 inLost-$3122643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed Argentina3c881.78$30 inLost-$3014534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed Argentina3c700.34$23 inLost-$23.227321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Argentina4c684.71$24 inLost-$23.9627520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Argentina3c600$20 inLost-$19.846319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdadb…1870backed Argentina4c546.12$21 inLost-$21.31346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Argentina3c499.94$15 inLost-$15.545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Argentina4c460.03$16 inLost-$16.3833729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaaa…fd0dbacked Argentina4c435.42$16 inLost-$15.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Argentina5c424.44$21 inLost-$20.7753436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Argentina4c390$14 inLost-$13.7345627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Argentina3c388.76$10 inLost-$10.547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Argentina3c360.36$13 inLost-$12.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…98e3backed Argentina4c303.92$11 inLost-$112634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Argentina3c299.99$10 inLost-$10.215225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Argentina4c285.16$10 inLost-$10.2824233.5%81 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc315…2fb5backed Argentina10c256.58$25 inLost-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.