TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over36c27,730$10,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,051.122,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under64c18,542$11,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,654.191,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c10,689$7,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,472.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under64c10,326$6,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.6686452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c4,109$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.554,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over35c3,433$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.4642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over36c2,766$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under64c2,163$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.262,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under64c1,679$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.2659752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over35c1,251$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.25735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over36c1,211$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43331435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0b…a0d9backed Under64c1,166$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.643961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Over36c1,110$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.64544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under64c999.98$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Under65c923.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.089760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over40c916.35$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.541,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under64c849.52$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8946550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over36c722.22$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26022436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over36c697.72$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.189428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under63c603.71$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.052,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x701e…6137backed Over30c600$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1824420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Over36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008959.6%53 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Over37c540.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Over11c536.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.985127.5%14 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d64…ba4abacked Under62c515.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.522646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over36c513.89$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over35c499.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9945038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under65c489.23$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2322355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under62c487.61$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.295549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over19c482.87$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7433438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c421.26$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.988,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e0…6adbbacked Over38c389.47$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482536%9 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over36c310.75$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.872,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over36c308.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11143246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under63c299.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x788c…8c15backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008036.3%29 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e18…f3b1backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over45c274$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2977051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77ae…8b7bbacked Over37c271.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over37c267.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9924935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Under62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under64c234.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Over35c231.07$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.732044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over40c230$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9279149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under55c228.7$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe551…f188backed Under66c214.91$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.075349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over41c183$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0341551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Over36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011031.8%35 W · 75 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x975e…f875backed Under65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.857946.8%37 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x240c…b6b0backed Over36c153.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.271346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd0d…c83abacked Over36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47126.8%19 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Over35c139.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.938021.3%17 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaece…6fcfbacked Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf99…e2cfbacked Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over36c136.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0287…38aabacked Over37c132.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.023026.7%8 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05ab…bf47backed Over38c131.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013543.7%59 W · 76 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81d4…bb6ebacked Under68c127.04$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.883231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd661…fee9backed Over36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452528%7 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Over40c124.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017448.9%85 W · 89 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under64c122$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9246247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under63c115.79$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8485851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b4…37d2backed Over26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303540%14 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over34c115$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1526344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc55b…7319backed Over36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-85.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2407…7dcabacked Over36c109.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2921042.4%89 W · 121 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Under65c107.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.695450%27 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3757252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over27c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016535.2%58 W · 107 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49a1…1c02backed Over36c84.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd59b…5c85backed Over36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014973.2%109 W · 40 L+17.6wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+20.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over17c83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8156…d978backed Over37c81.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016442.1%69 W · 95 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under65c80.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4266056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.611846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968f…9e6fbacked Under64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1313756.9%78 W · 59 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24b8…dfeabacked Under65c75.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Over36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258042.5%34 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb83e…866abacked Over36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Over36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517329.5%51 W · 122 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under63c69.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.641,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Over45c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.737352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under65c64.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.641,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under77c64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under64c61.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under63c55.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6961855.3%342 W · 276 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5238…ba99backed Over36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015335.3%54 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfecb…4c05backed Over36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208845.5%40 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4a…d57ebacked Over36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589e…b15cbacked Over36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.