TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0eb…2c46

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8021.3%17 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$110
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$57.27
Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Granit Xhaka: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+193.7%+$187.89
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4447.7%21 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$52.81
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$109.33
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+400%+$116
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Kingston: Elias Ymer vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Cincinnati Open: Magdalena Frech vs Elena Rybakinabacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.14
Cincinnati Open: Maya Joint vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$59.73
Brownsburg: Daniel Milavsky vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Yu Jun Linbacked Chengyiyi Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.6
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
ITF Astana: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Mukund Sasikumarbacked Mukund Sasikumar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$85.96
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Edas Butvilasbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Warsaw: Mona Barthel vs Elizara Yanevabacked Elizara Yaneva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$45.23
National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Anna Bondarbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$43.98
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$97.09
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Will FC København win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+178.9%+$123.44
Will AIK win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Spread: AIK (-1.5)backed AIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Exact Score: IFK Goteborg 2 - 1 IF Brommapojkarna?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+900%+$135
Exact Score: IFK Goteborg 3 - 1 IF Brommapojkarna?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: IFK Goteborg 2 - 0 IF Brommapojkarna?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will IF Brommapojkarna vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)backed AIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+400%+$120
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempobacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.