TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: RU Saint-Gilloise (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FK Bodø/Glimtof RU Saint-Gilloise, FK Bodø/Glimt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,163 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadfb…c2efbacked RU Saint-Gilloise18c1,000$180 inLost-$18036142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked RU Saint-Gilloise20c600$120 inLost-$1204727.7%13 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28c5…5ad1backed RU Saint-Gilloise19c526.32$100 inLost-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked RU Saint-Gilloise6c500$30 inLost-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked RU Saint-Gilloise18c256$46 inLost-$46.0829949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed RU Saint-Gilloise11c165.64$19 inLost-$1930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked RU Saint-Gilloise13c101$13 inLost-$13.156347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed RU Saint-Gilloise21c80$16 inLost-$16.43228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed RU Saint-Gilloise21c63.01$13 inLost-$13.3327031.5%85 W · 185 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked FK Bodø/Glimt80c30$24 inWon+$63360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed FK Bodø/Glimt80c18.8$15 inWon+$3.83271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked FK Bodø/Glimt80c18.75$15 inWon+$3.753369.7%23 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e2b…be93backed FK Bodø/Glimt80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.