Champions League · resolved market
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe45b35291749b0be98be07170cfb6124b47cb754dc6f295ae3412e6c5113d6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 33c | 6,355$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.77 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 2,445$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.23 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 1,805$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.44 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 34c | 1,774$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.74 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 1,384$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.76 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 67c | 1,068$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.15 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 68c | 1,042$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 31c | 520.84$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.38 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 67c | 497.87$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 23c | 482.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 11c | 329.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 68c | 323.53$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 315.4$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 67c | 256$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.52 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 32c | 213$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 28c | 201.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 36c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 72c | 196.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Over | 33c | 195.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 57c | 169.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 67c | 151.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 75c | 150.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 75c | 127.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 67c | 94.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 33c | 93.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 75c | 84.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 75c | 83.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 67c | 80.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 257 | 29.6%76 W · 181 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 71c | 76.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 66c | 74.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 72c | 74.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 33c | 70.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 39.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 32c | 34.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 57c | 34.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked Over | 34c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 30.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacd…646ebacked Under | 66c | 30.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 76c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 75c | 20.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed Under | 66c | 20.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Under | 77c | 16.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 68c | 16.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5this page
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 0.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)RU Saint-Gilloise won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)RU Saint-Gilloise won
- Spread: RU Saint-Gilloise (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.