TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,855 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c6,224$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.281,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Over80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over47c3,883$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.6872335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under23c3,825$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.661,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under25c1,587$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.311,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over80c1,286$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.242458.3%14 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under37c1,285$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.7837649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c1,243$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.8623031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Over79c1,140$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101520%3 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over61c907.19$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.45580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under20c833.96$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2532843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef8a…7035backed Over75c746.51$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.63475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under3c685$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7660136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over70c524.59$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.383040%12 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under26c463.52$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.994240.5%17 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under21c449.77$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9610752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under25c435.31$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3644033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under40c306.98$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9310743.9%47 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Over79c298.42$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.671573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under35c260.88$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0512551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over72c200.14$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0912556%70 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.768845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over51c194.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.522352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over74c184.67$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.235538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under35c171.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5415954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over62c161.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.37540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under50c153.22$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7517058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under50c153.22$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7530856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe7…f1a5backed Over66c151.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+56.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked Over44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+73.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over76c135$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43966.7%26 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over38c134.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.61553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over16c133.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7612039.2%47 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1c…ca9dbacked Over30c125$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+83.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over20c104$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.26142.6%26 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over65c103.78$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3217443.7%76 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ea…639abacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254477.3%34 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under39c99.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2114353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under36c95.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.76955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under40c87.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.496734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under19c83.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6312144.6%54 W · 67 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18cd…b710backed Under24c83.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over57c68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.246363.5%40 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under41c63.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9615448.7%75 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under30c60.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0260%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under80c58.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9322245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under23c58.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5242438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under38c52.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a07…267fbacked Over57c52.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over57c51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.936470.3%45 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over57c51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.937364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed Over39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Over64c49.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.22454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over40c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.995240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e49…5166backed Over57c45.86$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over57c45.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6121443.9%94 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Over61c45.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x704b…08b7backed Under76c39.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under33c36.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.928250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over57c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.623354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under36c32.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.434052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce3…c36cbacked Over44c30.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.951637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over66c28.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.668368.7%57 W · 26 L+13.8wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Over79c27.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.743183.9%26 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over61c22.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.862254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Over67c22.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.391573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+153.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a4a…4b20backed Over53c22.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over59c21.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0427450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d71…ca3ebacked Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over54c19.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.981770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+97%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Over73c19.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.153026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over79c12.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.731457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.