Champions League · resolved market
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfedf184c2e60688f3dde514b31aae438b31dc82fe92c1df2bfaeac4dfbd5d09e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 2,500$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 2,204$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.42 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over | 47c | 2,015$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 1,725$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.59 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Under | 5c | 1,600$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 25c | 1,221$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 2c | 1,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed Under | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 2c | 870.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 3c | 833.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Under | 3c | 760.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 3c | 645.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 38c | 528.39$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 55c | 360.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Under | 68c | 300$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 6c | 262.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 55c | 199.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 55c | 183.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 8c | 163.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.52 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 78c | 157$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 8c | 141.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +132%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 11c | 136.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 76c | 127.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 56c | 126.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 58c | 111.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 55c | 110.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 25c | 101.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 47c | 97.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 27c | 96.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 53c | 90.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 74.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe7…f1a5backed Over | 31c | 63.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 49c | 59.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 46.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 49c | 39.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 44c | 33.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 46c | 32.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 57c | 28.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…77a9backed Under | 80c | 19.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 68c | 19.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 65c | 17.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 5.5this page
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 0.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5Over won
- RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)RU Saint-Gilloise won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)RU Saint-Gilloise won
- Spread: RU Saint-Gilloise (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.