TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb809…2004backed Under45c17,080$7,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,647.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c10,907$6,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,694.2788631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over55c5,778$3,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.1813738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over56c5,226$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.4937649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over56c3,701$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.0172335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef54…1444backed Under45c3,047$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3561127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under31c3,037$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.836048.3%29 W · 31 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3203839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9810543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over56c2,997$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.5912039.2%47 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c2,571$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.5643252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under43c2,507$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.23852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c2,150$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.051,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over55c2,061$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c1,674$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.6460748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over56c1,578$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.325265.4%34 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under43c1,351$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.6413649.3%67 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c1,311$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.71,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under41c1,241$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.631030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over55c1,132$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.3191537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c1,124$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.546142.6%26 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over64c1,053$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.1244647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over55c1,005$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.332437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under43c1,003$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.0636142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under54c849.39$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.744065%26 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c812.47$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.6132843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under50c807.78$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over55c678.24$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.214156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9805…a997backed Over55c632.18$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c539.04$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.541,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c512$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8429949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under43c473.1$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4222245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Under46c416.66$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.66650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over59c405.74$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.352948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…3493backed Under44c363.64$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3f5…10d5backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over47c316.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Under46c312.5$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Under47c303.51$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.552157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under44c294.71$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.434443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over55c261$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4520241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under44c242.66$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7711035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1911937.8%45 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Over53c229.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under44c218.78$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.485437%20 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Under46c208.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Under46c208.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Under46c208.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over55c191.18$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.03887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+55.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over59c185.78$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9427031.5%85 W · 185 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over56c178.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.588100%8 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Under46c163$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over56c162.57$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.923031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6322552%117 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under24c129.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6544033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae33…ba39backed Over57c123.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.811450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under45c122.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under45c115.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7810743.9%47 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe34f…6b2bbacked Under46c108.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Under46c106.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.931163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Under46c104.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under43c103.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7252046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418253.7%44 W · 38 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ae…3a89backed Under41c95.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under45c95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7524252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1425…3bc8backed Under45c93.46$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.972352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0536…c50bbacked Under44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5a…7593backed Under46c89.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+57%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over55c88.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405856.9%33 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce09…4fdcbacked Under46c86.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under53c86.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.643271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd87e…36fabacked Under57c84.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under34c84.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.242147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under45c83.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5214353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba2c…fddabacked Over58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.764100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+128.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under45c78.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2815954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.814454.9%79 W · 65 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.183243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef3…99b3backed Under46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Under44c64.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.284748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+64.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c62.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2763346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Over55c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over57c57.19$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.797958.2%46 W · 33 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Over57c52.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.721952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211646.6%54 W · 62 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccad…46ecbacked Under41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over54c46.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.576838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8652…93cebacked Under43c46.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0368…9874backed Under44c45.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-70.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over60c45.51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2227450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fea…f2c9backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b4e…150cbacked Under44c45.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae23…1bc4backed Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8009…ca1bbacked Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8349…55d7backed Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.