TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,213 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Yes12c5,000$625 inLost-$62586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes15c4,053$601 inLost-$600.85925.4%15 W · 44 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes14c600$84 inLost-$8417052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes14c589.28$82 inLost-$82.541231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes13c510.59$64 inLost-$63.821,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes10c370$37 inLost-$371,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost-$503253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4424…4cc6backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost-$503713.5%5 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost-$301,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes13c296.56$39 inLost-$38.551,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes6c283.48$17 inLost-$17.017714.3%11 W · 66 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…57e3backed Yes12c250$30 inLost-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-84.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes14c200$29 inLost-$2927242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes14c200$27 inLost-$2729813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c179.43$25 inLost-$25.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes14c162.25$22 inLost-$21.9230241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost-$2037526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes15c106.67$16 inLost-$168021.3%17 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93e5…3b8dbacked Yes15c80$12 inLost-$1213950.4%70 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fc…ed09backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost-$105834.5%20 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.