TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,272 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x70ef…0cdebacked No63c342.86$216 inLost-$2163455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes37c320.99$120 inWon+$200.888,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No62c194.88$121 inLost-$120.8328873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No63c177.01$112 inLost-$112.212,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes38c150$57 inWon+$936033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb9…76bcbacked Yes37c81.3$30 inWon+$51.3714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-61.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No65c64.5$42 inLost-$41.936671.2%47 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed No63c62.99$40 inLost-$39.689563.2%60 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a18…a0f3backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon+$37.146248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d6…0704backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon+$34.054042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde72…e386backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon+$34.052254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.