TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,570 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes5c2,083$96 inLost-$96.2932765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes9c1,434$132 inLost-$131.552,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes7c1,000$73 inLost-$73.0318843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed Yes4c732.69$33 inLost-$32.79078.9%71 W · 19 L+18.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+53.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes9c730.39$67 inLost-$66.641,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes3c616.81$20 inLost-$19.9295037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1330…b4b5backed Yes7c602.69$42 inLost-$41.5312927.1%35 W · 94 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89ab…14e7backed Yes8c360$27 inLost-$27.221010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-76.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes60c333.33$199 inLost-$198.913268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes11c318.18$35 inLost-$3527637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f9…8739backed Yes7c270$20 inLost-$19.911323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-55.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No25c253.33$63 inWon+$19045145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d6e…6807backed Yes4c250$10 inLost-$105815.5%9 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f81…d38bbacked Yes11c233.64$25 inLost-$2510330.1%31 W · 72 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes6c167.27$10 inLost-$10.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd7c…ddb4backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$102445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed No71c17$12 inWon+$4.939563.2%60 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.