TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes20c8,538$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.062,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No79c8,280$6,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.041,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Yes21c5,250$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.58435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No79c4,355$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.4770750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No80c3,517$2,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.9611256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c3,008$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.412,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes21c2,857$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes20c2,850$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes20c1,713$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.511526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes19c1,512$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.141,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No80c1,255$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.33,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No80c1,188$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.423,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes20c877.21$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0418843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No80c840$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16846464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505121.6%11 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e73…1d17backed No80c633.34$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.673100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No79c485.96$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0539951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccf…e99bbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes21c462.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.126240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012839.1%50 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes21c420.25$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes14c413.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0751429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed No79c399.97$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.996570.8%46 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes20c375$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes22c365$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.316428.7%47 W · 117 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No79c338.54$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.095962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No80c314.17$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.763,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020448.5%99 W · 105 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked Yes23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.58742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016549.1%81 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x940b…289cbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9860…c343backed No79c250$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefee…5c77backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506035%21 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…57e3backed Yes21c249.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-84.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017436.2%63 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e10…5721backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015148.3%73 W · 78 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1410…3fb1backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca76…3d14backed Yes20c238.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.617627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d32…9973backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504020%8 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…61f0backed Yes20c190.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.095255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No79c189.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No79c189$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1123644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes21c176.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3716032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2425…3dd1backed Yes21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510813%14 W · 94 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x387f…1ee7backed Yes15c135$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa22d…3f00backed Yes21c133.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286136.1%22 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3728…e999backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305844.8%26 W · 32 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2770backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258447.6%40 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a1f…3400backed No80c123.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7913100%13 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No80c115.88$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4937971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34be…5f78backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d26…6a3cbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fa…34babacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee45…25a8backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113122.1%29 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85cd…aca5backed Yes21c99.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.921758.8%10 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.24per pick34cpaid+79.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ca5…d5fbbacked Yes17c96.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.462611.5%3 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes21c96.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce4…2b0cbacked Yes21c90.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Yes20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0411834.7%41 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f51…4867backed Yes21c85.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick19cpaid+172.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xca50…7691backed Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x566c…3d03backed Yes21c78.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.546942%29 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9146…2813backed Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517336.4%63 W · 110 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes20c73.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527729.2%81 W · 196 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158454.8%46 W · 38 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes21c68.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes22c67.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.751,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No80c65.84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.381,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…17e4backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106227.4%17 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+93.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38c0…53f9backed Yes21c52.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113020%6 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-60.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes21c51.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10f…56f4backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…5303backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.141,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa98d…3d44backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick18cpaid+127.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No80c49.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0286656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No77c44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.012,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ee…c9cdbacked No79c15.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.338858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…80c0backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.55386.8%46 W · 7 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+35.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.