Fifa International · resolved market
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87e30a1325dc8aae40963e3ec5669c98632e042a1a46acdb17e66f5d62aa8095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes | 4c | 124,643$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 4c | 16,559$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Yes | 4c | 15,000$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.48 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…9450backed Yes | 4c | 13,517$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Yes | 4c | 5,677$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.11 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 4c | 5,090$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 3,317$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…40b4backed Yes | 4c | 2,703$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654e…5998backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 4c | 2,108$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 4c | 1,899$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…625dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,830$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 4c | 1,810$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…6a2cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,807$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yes | 3c | 1,800$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdf…86f1backed Yes | 4c | 1,770$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2f…20a5backed Yes | 4c | 1,701$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,471$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 4c | 1,424$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…80f0backed Yes | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 1.6%1 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…992abacked Yes | 4c | 1,154$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…b32abacked Yes | 4c | 1,073$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…06d2backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…7125backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…46c9backed Yes | 4c | 829.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +150.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…9ffdbacked Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 4c | 775$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 345 | 24.1%83 W · 262 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e76…37acbacked Yes | 2c | 695.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…5ce3backed Yes | 4c | 681.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 4c | 675.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 4c | 641.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…90a3backed Yes | 4c | 595.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…8a19backed Yes | 3c | 588.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace7…b7cfbacked Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0b…8347backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 4c | 510.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…da23backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 13.4%13 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…ab9abacked Yes | 4c | 480.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…9a04backed Yes | 4c | 465.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c0…5f4abacked Yes | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…6a3cbacked Yes | 4c | 405.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…f103backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 4c | 395$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…ac5abacked Yes | 4c | 377.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…009bbacked Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 4c | 357.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 6c | 353.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…971fbacked Yes | 4c | 271.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6610…1ab9backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…f519backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ba…8d27backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…2f5cbacked Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…93d0backed Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsthis page
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsYes won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ shotsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 2+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 3+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots on targetNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 4+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ shotsYes won
- Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 1+ goalsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 2+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 2+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsYes won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsYes won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsYes won
- Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsYes won
- Exequiel Palacios: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Jordan Pickford: 4+ savesNo won
- Jordan Pickford: 5+ savesNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 4+ shotsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsYes won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.