TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3329…2f5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7215.3%11 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+503.9%+$262.03
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$202.27
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+198.8%+$99.38
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT677.5%5 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+511.8%+$255.88
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$192.67
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT150%0 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick6cpaid+209.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$180.75
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.63
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$391.67
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.