Middle East · resolved market
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,330,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,351,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,330,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 0c | 2,394,314$10,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,448.46 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…c48fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,111,174$64,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,836.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…39a9backed Yes | 0c | 1,000,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes | 1c | 789,080$11,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,533.09 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 4c | 698,533$26,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,281.21 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 2c | 566,210$10,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,853.53 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…701ebacked Yes | 2c | 542,981$8,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,883.5 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -92.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 2c | 526,032$11,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,877.21 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…48d1backed Yes | 0c | 517,166$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…44cfbacked Yes | 0c | 404,000$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…21cbbacked Yes | 3c | 382,134$10,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,710.87 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…faffbacked Yes | 1c | 362,426$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…5319backed Yes | 1c | 327,745$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 299,991$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 267,264$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.84 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d1…f57ebacked Yes | 1c | 263,409$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…d4ecbacked Yes | 1c | 254,314$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.09 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…a772backed Yes | 0c | 245,535$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 0c | 209,996$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…7c06backed Yes | 0c | 208,664$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 1c | 187,076$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…4991backed Yes | 0c | 180,376$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 178,000$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.85 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9697…8e9abacked Yes | 1c | 175,280$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 3c | 174,525$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.43 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 3c | 164,423$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…8742backed Yes | 5c | 150,239$6,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,771.98 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…50c3backed Yes | 2c | 147,755$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0b…d2ccbacked Yes | 1c | 138,098$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…d3e7backed Yes | 1c | 134,031$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…32f9backed Yes | 0c | 125,220$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 1c | 123,706$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.18 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0769…3950backed Yes | 3c | 118,922$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 1c | 115,481$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.71 | 114 | 6.1%7 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…b04dbacked Yes | 2c | 115,138$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.93 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 4c | 112,353$4,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595.89 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…e9cbbacked Yes | 0c | 99,450$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…9fc0backed Yes | 0c | 97,796$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…50ddbacked Yes | 0c | 94,667$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fc…b4e3backed Yes | 4c | 93,947$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 89,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.42 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 3c | 88,988$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.19 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 3c | 86,953$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 86,684$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2380…b53ebacked Yes | 4c | 79,000$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1616…896cbacked Yes | 1c | 77,226$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…6d64backed Yes | 4c | 75,807$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.59 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878f…1755backed Yes | 3c | 75,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 1c | 72,080$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.96 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 4c | 70,050$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.9 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469b…7e0ebacked Yes | 3c | 68,968$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…9b69backed Yes | 1c | 66,937$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…0278backed Yes | 2c | 63,067$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…666fbacked Yes | 4c | 60,688$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.31 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…e798backed Yes | 7c | 58,873$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,187 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +405.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…1e4ebacked Yes | 1c | 57,700$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…bbdbbacked Yes | 0c | 56,978$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +372.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5b…d168backed Yes | 2c | 56,913$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…b2f5backed Yes | 0c | 55,803$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 3c | 55,540$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.64 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 51,845$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.09 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…dd44backed Yes | 0c | 50,477$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…da06backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 3c | 48,719$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.11 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…c770backed Yes | 2c | 45,586$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.89 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…0d8bbacked Yes | 4c | 43,648$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 7cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 43,571$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.05 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7f…09efbacked Yes | 1c | 43,225$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.99 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be2…5fa6backed Yes | 1c | 42,766$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.36 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…e5aebacked Yes | 7c | 42,658$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…b691backed Yes | 0c | 42,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes | 1c | 41,911$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.9 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 41,373$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.46 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Yes | 3c | 40,081$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f35…17dabacked Yes | 1c | 39,405$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…bc03backed Yes | 3c | 39,113$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 38,892$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.58 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 3c | 37,706$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.1 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 4c | 36,996$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.66 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4e…2e3ebacked Yes | 5c | 36,666$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.29 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…cd17backed Yes | 2c | 35,469$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 35,387$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.53 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fef…4849backed Yes | 1c | 35,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 3c | 35,000$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 4c | 34,998$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.8 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…b2cabacked Yes | 3c | 34,900$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 2c | 34,443$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.51 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…2d87backed Yes | 3c | 32,127$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.81 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +259.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 6c | 32,117$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed Yes | 2c | 31,624$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…b725backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e2…5c64backed Yes | 5c | 29,947$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +811.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…53f7backed Yes | 1c | 29,889$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.47 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 1c | 29,528$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.44 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…2ec5backed Yes | 2c | 29,121$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.98 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 4c | 27,925$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.28 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 1c | 27,743$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.84 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.