TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a33…c087

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 59 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,355.93
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,865.13
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$951.04
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$199.19
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,036Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$3,394.5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$930
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,626Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,609.46
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,548Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$6,269.9
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,012Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+367.2%+$7,387.96
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$3,901.76
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,005Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+98%+$5,881.98
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$560
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+140.1%+$3,326
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,557.56
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$4,222.4
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$1,881.01
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,532Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.3%+$1,873.86
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,008
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$606.95
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,523.4
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,538Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+285.7%+$4,394.5
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+27.1%+$3,284.09
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3020%6 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$8,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,334.03
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,925.02
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$926.61
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,534.35
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,781Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+629.3%+$23,792.12
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,017Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$993.3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13,216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+381.4%+$50,407.26
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$6,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,063.95
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.3
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.5
Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.88
Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+461.4%+$9,228.07
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.3%+$2,586.42
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,866.54
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan Wolverines vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$107.14
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$250
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Boise State Broncosbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$87.84
St. John's Red Storm vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+66.7%+$166.67
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+156.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$134.62
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$2,458.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,988.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,099.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$3,098
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.