TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. John's Red Storm vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iowa State Cyclonesof St. John's Red Storm, Iowa State Cyclones
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,136,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,601,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,136,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Iowa State Cyclones60c435,809$260,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174,846.036245.2%28 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed St. John's Red Storm39c226,581$89,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,220.3469142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked St. John's Red Storm40c131,521$52,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,608.399652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x098f…ecb1backed St. John's Red Storm0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e0…7d46backed Iowa State Cyclones53c22,000$11,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,329.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed St. John's Red Storm43c15,301$6,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,630.222,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked St. John's Red Storm40c11,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9990645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…90b2backed Iowa State Cyclones77c10,411$7,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.26366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked St. John's Red Storm43c10,339$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,45023243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm40c10,247$4,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,130.9212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed St. John's Red Storm41c8,910$3,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,608.5528539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed St. John's Red Storm60c5,810$3,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,485.7115556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e5d…f75dbacked Iowa State Cyclones59c5,306$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed St. John's Red Storm41c5,176$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.1330139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed St. John's Red Storm41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed Iowa State Cyclones61c4,918$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.32152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked St. John's Red Storm24c4,912$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.231,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. John's Red Storm29c4,315$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.741,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. John's Red Storm47c4,180$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.335,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed St. John's Red Storm49c4,091$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Iowa State Cyclones65c3,478$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.465,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd52…0001backed St. John's Red Storm32c3,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed St. John's Red Storm37c2,929$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.038639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed St. John's Red Storm40c2,876$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.253141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Iowa State Cyclones60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed St. John's Red Storm41c2,415$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Iowa State Cyclones45c2,272$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.272864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed St. John's Red Storm45c2,200$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.043941%16 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Iowa State Cyclones59c2,000$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.912755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Iowa State Cyclones57c1,831$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.4474649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa9…1351backed Iowa State Cyclones51c1,700$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8292222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Iowa State Cyclones61c1,481$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.033946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b5…1d1dbacked Iowa State Cyclones60c1,058$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.111442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed St. John's Red Storm65c1,042$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick59cpaid-79.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed St. John's Red Storm51c982.28$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.3255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Iowa State Cyclones57c958.16$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.943,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Iowa State Cyclones58c899.72$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Iowa State Cyclones60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed St. John's Red Storm39c771.08$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.134641.3%19 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed St. John's Red Storm45c697.91$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.5611439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…c9eebacked Iowa State Cyclones61c688.34$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.53174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed St. John's Red Storm40c681.78$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9349043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked St. John's Red Storm42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed St. John's Red Storm33c560$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.381,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked St. John's Red Storm28c545$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.85536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked St. John's Red Storm40c536$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.981,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43df…e6e9backed Iowa State Cyclones60c533.33$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Iowa State Cyclones52c520$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.292,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked St. John's Red Storm40c511.65$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6653057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Iowa State Cyclones59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2053847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfbd…92dabacked St. John's Red Storm36c499.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked St. John's Red Storm25c480$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…b3f6backed St. John's Red Storm22c441.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a33…c087backed Iowa State Cyclones60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked St. John's Red Storm23c400$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Iowa State Cyclones65c398.77$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.575352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Iowa State Cyclones48c391.22$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.431,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1228…c4fabacked St. John's Red Storm5c370$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-79.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Iowa State Cyclones54c364.58$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked St. John's Red Storm29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed Iowa State Cyclones40c319.91$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.552250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x537e…63ccbacked Iowa State Cyclones66c314.34$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c73…0725backed St. John's Red Storm32c313.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…b511backed Iowa State Cyclones58c299.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.3wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-76.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Iowa State Cyclones68c285.16$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.065750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed St. John's Red Storm37c280.27$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.95552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed St. John's Red Storm54c260$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.47143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70af…579ebacked Iowa State Cyclones60c255$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked St. John's Red Storm40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.73850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Iowa State Cyclones40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked St. John's Red Storm33c247.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.481,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed St. John's Red Storm20c246.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.242347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Iowa State Cyclones43c209.86$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3357448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fc…6587backed Iowa State Cyclones61c201.43$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed St. John's Red Storm35c200.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.227245.8%33 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Iowa State Cyclones43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Iowa State Cyclones55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Iowa State Cyclones51c196.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.112435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Iowa State Cyclones58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.641554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Iowa State Cyclones57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4450546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Iowa State Cyclones57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4439144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Iowa State Cyclones62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.295459.3%32 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a8…8629backed St. John's Red Storm62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked St. John's Red Storm35c157.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Iowa State Cyclones56c142.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.952928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed St. John's Red Storm33c130$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.412054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d04…cfc5backed Iowa State Cyclones80c121.21$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.241464.3%9 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed St. John's Red Storm27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.464322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e4…a93cbacked St. John's Red Storm44c115.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed St. John's Red Storm40c111$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.434947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed St. John's Red Storm41c110$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Iowa State Cyclones42c107.26$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x668a…e8e1backed Iowa State Cyclones56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1476…07f6backed Iowa State Cyclones47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked St. John's Red Storm53c104.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0303…2ae3backed Iowa State Cyclones59c103.22$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Iowa State Cyclones59c100.36$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked St. John's Red Storm41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4129444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Iowa State Cyclones60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4015156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed St. John's Red Storm42c98.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.313219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.