TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x694d…c5a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
362
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT8043.8%35 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$59.4
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$119
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.5
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$106
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.57
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$93.99
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$83.79
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.91
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$200.9
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.28
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.5
1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$188
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.35
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT7037.1%26 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.9
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$188.5
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Darderibacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$38.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.27
Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Medvedevbacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.64
Cordoba: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Sakamotobacked Pedro Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Andreevabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$278.2
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,755Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$1,639.58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Set 1 Winner: Medjedovic vs Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$903Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$768.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,456.74
Set 1 Winner: Prizmic vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$155.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nuno Borges vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardibacked Luca Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.1
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT6446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.91
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.37
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$11
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.64
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.91
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.75
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$79.5
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+291.6%+$111.7
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT5352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,186.2
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$334
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$370.01
Texas Longhorns vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$689.69
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.29
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$582.86
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.64
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+207.8%+$1,747.12
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.2
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$260.71
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$454.34
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.92
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.79
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.86
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$581.08
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$502.59
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$186.36
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$130.98
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$204.87
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$100.27
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.71
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$612
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-12.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.34
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,174.24
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$907.82
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+277.4%+$147
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.85
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$759.89
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$41.8
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$77
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.96
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$694
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$480
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$142
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.04
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.53
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$492.6
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-71.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$373.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.99
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.7
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.45
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$805.4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.43
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 April 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$28.53
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 April 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.13
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.99
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$163.08
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,777Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$1,485.01
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,261Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$2,193.48
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.38
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$28.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+771.9%+$177.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+71.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$72
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$120
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+81.8%+$180
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+294.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+294.7%+$224
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.