Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Medvedev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94b3146436fa553cf9ed2fc0ffa17b02ef79a8e9a38cc2c38ae9115763a6e8d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Tirante, Medvedev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Medvedev | 52c | 515.73$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Tirante | 56c | 417.65$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.66 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Medvedev | 44c | 296.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Tirante | 49c | 204.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…c6a1backed Tirante | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Tirante | 47c | 175.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Tirante | 49c | 140.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…cf8dbacked Medvedev | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Tirante | 48c | 103.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a48…ba21backed Medvedev | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tirante | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tirante | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Medvedev | 45c | 82.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Tirante | 21c | 78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Medvedev | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Medvedev | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Medvedev | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Medvedev | 54c | 26.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Tirante | 46c | 23.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Medvedevthis page
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil MedvedevDaniil Medvedev won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)Medvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.