TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x625d…c6a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 55.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Jay Clarkebacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+207.4%+$1,641.09
Set 1 Winner: Faurel vs Clarkebacked Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$444
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffinbacked David Goffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+900%+$360
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Clara Tauson vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tienbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,330.38
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$684.5
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Cervia: Moise Kouame vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,627.51
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Clement Chidekhbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignonbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.92
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignonbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+400%+$73.89
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.74
Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Krajicek/Mektic vs Granollers/Zeballosbacked Krajicek/Mektic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Set 1 Winner: Schoenhaus vs Asschebacked Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Medvedevbacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Oeiras 4: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.12
Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Andreevabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.41
Set 1 Winner: Medjedovic vs Landalucebacked Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$305.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$241.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Laura Siegemundbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.42
Wuxi: Adam Walton vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$774.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navonebacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,637.49
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+93.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.