TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Ethan Quinn

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tommy Paulof Tommy Paul, Ethan Quinn
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Ethan Quinn13c14,085$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.8511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ethan Quinn15c12,125$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.874,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ethan Quinn3c11,965$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.578,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Ethan Quinn4c10,380$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.471,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Ethan Quinn10c5,508$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.781,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Ethan Quinn16c4,347$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.182,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Ethan Quinn26c3,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79019835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Tommy Paul73c2,484$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.734553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Ethan Quinn16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ethan Quinn17c1,796$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.316,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Ethan Quinn6c1,700$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10238911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Tommy Paul73c1,642$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4760053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Ethan Quinn27c1,481$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.971,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Tommy Paul71c1,417$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.5622667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Tommy Paul78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0594068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Ethan Quinn26c1,102$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.43,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Ethan Quinn5c1,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ethan Quinn23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Ethan Quinn11c999.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020412.7%26 W · 178 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Ethan Quinn29c999.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ethan Quinn8c842.8$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.257,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Ethan Quinn6c817.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9885624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ethan Quinn30c757.96$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3987251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Ethan Quinn25c623.05$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.997,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Ethan Quinn17c587.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9597141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Ethan Quinn18c553.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8280341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7454…57f2backed Ethan Quinn17c492.63$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6620949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Ethan Quinn13c485.33$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Ethan Quinn23c422.66$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.961,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Tommy Paul74c370$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.234761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Ethan Quinn19c350$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.351,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Ethan Quinn30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Tommy Paul70c329.51$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8549447.2%233 W · 261 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Ethan Quinn20c274.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9855243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ethan Quinn17c250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.59,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Ethan Quinn9c225.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Ethan Quinn18c204.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.852,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Ethan Quinn12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2445235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Ethan Quinn12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2469438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x625d…c6a1backed Ethan Quinn20c193.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.72839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ethan Quinn15c186.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.362,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ethan Quinn8c181.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Ethan Quinn29c175.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.477,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Ethan Quinn17c174.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0378…030bbacked Tommy Paul74c162.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1610764.5%69 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Ethan Quinn26c161.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.122,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Tommy Paul72c160.24$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8721955.3%121 W · 98 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8356…16b7backed Ethan Quinn19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306717.9%12 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Ethan Quinn12c152.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.292,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Ethan Quinn28c150$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7549142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Ethan Quinn27c149.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2918551.9%96 W · 89 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Ethan Quinn27c148.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0919548.2%94 W · 101 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Tommy Paul71c140.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.642743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1740…529ebacked Tommy Paul73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.997062.9%44 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Tommy Paul74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1473350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Tommy Paul74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1484968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Ethan Quinn27c128.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.71,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Tommy Paul71c110.33$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3253843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Ethan Quinn12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1229039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Ethan Quinn11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1137233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e50…dd7dbacked Ethan Quinn10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Ethan Quinn12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1239941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe37…911dbacked Tommy Paul79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2132675.2%245 W · 81 L+20.4wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Ethan Quinn27c99.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8618148.1%87 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Tommy Paul72c97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.168565.9%56 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Ethan Quinn15c92.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Ethan Quinn27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512843%55 W · 73 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x175e…8e46backed Tommy Paul71c70.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1710363.1%65 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd2…18bcbacked Tommy Paul72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Tommy Paul74c68.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8714162.4%88 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d75…26fbbacked Tommy Paul71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3416358.9%96 W · 67 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Tommy Paul71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3488560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Tommy Paul72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5620158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Tommy Paul72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5638262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Ethan Quinn27c43.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7934549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Ethan Quinn27c43.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.732853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Tommy Paul72c42.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9250958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e36…86c7backed Tommy Paul73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Tommy Paul72c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2824837.5%93 W · 155 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d6…5892backed Tommy Paul73c25.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.962544%11 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdff6…0918backed Tommy Paul70c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3549857%284 W · 214 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f29…5dfabacked Tommy Paul71c17.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.212067.5%81 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.