TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee0a…36d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
455
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 61 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT38262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 382 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.73
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$21.67
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Chisinau: Daniil Glinka vs Liam Broadybacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kosice: Peter Fajta vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halysbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Vicenza: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Samuele Pieribacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.05
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Little Rock: Dane Sweeny vs Enzo Aguiardbacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Little Rock: Aidan Mayo vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Braden Shickbacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$79.54
Chisinau: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Vicenza: Samuele Pieri vs Jerome Kymbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Roland Garros ATP: Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouamebacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kosice: Pedro Sakamoto vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Centurion: Calvin Hemery vs Khololwam Montsibacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$23.9
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Dali Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Vicenza: Lukas Neumayer vs Li Tubacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.94
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Showing 25 of 382 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$244.73
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.74
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.54
1. FC Nürnberg vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.64
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.05
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$22.27
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$52.35
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.27
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
1. FC Magdeburg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$5.31
SV 07 Elversberg vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.02
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$4.76
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$8.38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.76
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.54
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.37
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.61
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$8.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pumas de la UNAM vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.