Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c0d3ff348bb283517d3db061ea0695d037b75b1b24a067e9c70f0a5277a68b5

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $154,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $157,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,079 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbca1…dd13backed Under	71c	29,891$21,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,704.53	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	29c	26,214$7,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,649.65	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over	34c	9,400$3,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,196	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Under	59c	9,000$5,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,689.97	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	27c	6,610$1,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,812.35	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	71c	5,812$4,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,675.89	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Over	40c	5,121$2,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,023.79	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-55%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.87	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over	41c	4,920$2,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,017.24	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Under	71c	4,318$3,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,242.39	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under	59c	3,909$2,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,602.84	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under	66c	3,084$2,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,046.55	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	41c	3,009$1,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,228.96	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over	42c	2,993$1,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,244.59	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Under	59c	2,941$1,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,205.74	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Over	41c	2,410$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.92	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	59c	2,224$1,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$911.67	157	57.3%90 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	51c	2,169$1,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.87	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	31c	1,965$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.22	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x50e4…1cedbacked Under	60c	1,627$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650.67	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	59c	1,249$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.12	768	42.6%327 W · 441 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over	41c	1,247$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.2	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bb…98b3backed Over	50c	1,237$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.87	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over	41c	1,072$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.38	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over	41c	1,070$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.89	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-5.6wins	-0.20per pick	52cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Over	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.34per pick	47cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over	51c	991.32$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.73	96	60.4%58 W · 38 L	+8.8wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	59c	988.98$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.48	277	52.3%145 W · 132 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	73c	882.56$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.52	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	13c	674.22$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.57	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over	34c	672.46$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.87	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	9c	664.05$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.98	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under	59c	590.98$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.63	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	41c	585.88$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.21	406	55.2%224 W · 182 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over	18c	554.07$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.29	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	59c	524.17$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.91	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Under	60c	488$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over	41c	458.45$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.96	152	55.9%85 W · 67 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	62c	441.32$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.7	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	59c	399.98$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.99	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over	41c	399.96$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.98	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	41c	377.39$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.8	543	40.5%220 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	41c	375.23$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.84	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	62c	358.53$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.1	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	54c	350.77$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.02	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over	40c	341.98$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.79	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-53%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over	41c	336.7$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.05	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Under	62c	319.33$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.62	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	58cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over	63c	310.35$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.56	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over	33c	292.93$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.97	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over	21c	278.86$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.17	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over	41c	278.41$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.15	167	57.5%96 W · 71 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dca…ce96backed Over	53c	275$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.92	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under	70c	274.96$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.49	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…b1a2backed Under	71c	271.4$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.78	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.22per pick	51cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	41c	260.44$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.78	300	59.7%179 W · 121 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	41c	258.44$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.79	809	53.6%434 W · 375 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf50f…0586backed Over	36c	252.75$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.45	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fe…e803backed Over	59c	250.82$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.78	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-42%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over	41c	238.73$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.88	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	37c	238.39$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.2	97	24.7%24 W · 73 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over	41c	235.27$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.46	108	61.1%66 W · 42 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d07…ade2backed Over	41c	235.27$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over	41c	231.5$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.92	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	64c	210.8$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.2	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	64c	205.34$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.95	240	52.9%127 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	59c	200$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	157	38.9%61 W · 96 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over	41c	198.51$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.39	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under	64c	198.1$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.76	125	61.6%77 W · 48 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under	65c	197.7$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.56	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	41c	192.54$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.94	395	55.9%221 W · 174 L	+17.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	41c	192.54$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.94	235	56.2%132 W · 103 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	63c	190.76$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.6	288	59.7%172 W · 116 L	+19.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under	64c	187.15$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.18	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	41c	186.95$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.53	275	52.7%145 W · 130 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	41c	186.95$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.53	300	57%171 W · 129 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked Over	27c	173.21$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.77	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.24per pick	49cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	38c	164.84$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.28	732	58.5%428 W · 304 L	+46.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc93b…9e73backed Over	63c	157.8$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.41	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2632…c7f0backed Over	62c	157.61$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.72	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Over	62c	156.43$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.66	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over	63c	155.21$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.78	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+20%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over	63c	155.21$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.78	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Under	65c	150.76$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-23%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over	38c	150$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over	7c	150$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Over	38c	150$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Under	60c	146.44$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.05	44	70.5%31 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over	41c	145.44$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.63	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ec…df67backed Over	41c	141.16$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.88	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ab…3e5cbacked Under	75c	137.89$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.47	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over	36c	130.88$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.12	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…77fdbacked Under	60c	126.16$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.95	80	40%32 W · 48 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over	41c	117.63$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.23	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Over	41c	117.61$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.22	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under	50c	115.73$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.51	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+5.5wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over	34c	113.33$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.53	122	41.8%51 W · 71 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Over	34c	102.79$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14cd…efdcbacked Over	33c	99.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Under	38c	99.01$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.39	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5this page
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event