Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5de4046a8c280f92c466754480e07d19a1afbcdb21386e2e7240d2ad778b24f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 8,211$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.29 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 4,673$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.27 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Over | 68c | 3,408$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ac…ea58backed Under | 47c | 3,317$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 3,275$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Over | 78c | 2,100$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 23c | 2,081$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 35c | 2,054$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.34 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 75c | 1,932$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.88 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 61c | 1,852$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.78 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…c764backed Over | 77c | 1,381$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 55c | 1,302$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.02 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 16c | 1,187$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 1,105$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.97 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Under | 38c | 1,084$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over | 76c | 902.32$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over | 72c | 675.95$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 66c | 660.88$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…20e4backed Under | 25c | 579.23$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 46c | 549.89$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.19 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 46c | 526.53$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.89 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 54c | 480.46$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.01 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Over | 52c | 451.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 442.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Under | 34c | 433.1$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 68c | 413.47$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.19 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 46c | 405.8$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.82 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 399.97$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 9c | 379.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 66c | 359.01$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.81 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…086dbacked Over | 71c | 299.95$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 70c | 246.48$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 26c | 242.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 70c | 197.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 48c | 170.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 68c | 159.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 131.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 36c | 130.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 78c | 130.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 76c | 128.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…17fcbacked Over | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…f4ecbacked Under | 47c | 106.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 15c | 105.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d6…b213backed Over | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…3c48backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 71c | 99.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 63c | 93.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…fd38backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…616dbacked Under | 34c | 85.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…65a2backed Over | 77c | 83.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Under | 47c | 80.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Over | 63c | 79.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…b73fbacked Over | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…31a4backed Under | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Over | 73c | 69.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 67c | 69.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…90fdbacked Over | 54c | 69.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Under | 17c | 68.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 63c | 65.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Over | 55c | 64.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 54c | 58.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 55c | 54.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…8377backed Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 47c | 50.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8162…2fbbbacked Under | 39c | 49.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…9279backed Over | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…4f37backed Over | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 48.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 55c | 47.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 45.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…529dbacked Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…c622backed Under | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 55c | 37.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Under | 46c | 36.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Over | 69c | 36.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 74c | 34.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 55c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.