TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under15c8,211$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.292,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c4,673$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.274,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Over68c3,408$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29ac…ea58backed Under47c3,317$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c3,275$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.866,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Over78c2,100$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.92666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under23c2,081$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.871361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under35c2,054$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.3474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over75c1,932$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.882846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over61c1,852$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.784057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19e…c764backed Over77c1,381$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over55c1,302$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.028236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under16c1,187$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9224047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c1,105$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.972,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Under38c1,084$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over76c902.32$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.561457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over72c675.95$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.276100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over66c660.88$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e0…20e4backed Under25c579.23$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.811735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under46c549.89$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1927552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under46c526.53$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.8916757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over54c480.46$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.013650%18 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over52c451.97$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.941968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under15c442.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.081,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Under34c433.1$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.563237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over68c413.47$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.194768.1%32 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under46c405.8$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8230057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c399.97$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9955654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under9c379.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3811753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over66c359.01$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.816041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddc…086dbacked Over71c299.95$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Over70c246.48$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.941957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under26c242.38$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.342,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9412047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over70c197.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.621,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.185147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.836553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.613354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under48c170.06$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.632454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over68c159.77$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6941260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c131.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under36c130.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2220651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e45…efefbacked Over78c130.07$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.612867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over76c128.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1212954.3%70 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2510454.8%57 W · 47 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x487f…f4ecbacked Under47c106.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under15c105.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8169851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d6…b213backed Over54c102$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c6…3c48backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over71c99.58$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.917254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over76c98.56$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6559645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Over54c97.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over63c93.12$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.461361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49b1…fd38backed Over54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Under16c89.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2415553.5%83 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65d…616dbacked Under34c85.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc0…65a2backed Over77c83.6$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.451258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Under47c80.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.73683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Over63c79.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.599561.1%58 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec1…b73fbacked Over65c75.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over66c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.514463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fbc…31a4backed Under20c71.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb72…f5f9backed Over73c69.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.034100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over67c69.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.462030%6 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…90fdbacked Over54c69.09$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Under17c68.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6245224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over63c65.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2418842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Over55c64.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.091154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over54c58.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.842250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.853033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over55c54.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3217745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcccd…8377backed Over54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under46c52.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.192832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over69c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under47c50.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1677336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8162…2fbbbacked Under39c49.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over72c49.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7611839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5b3…9279backed Over54c48.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…4f37backed Over54c48.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c48.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1519244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over55c47.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4918841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over62c47.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.973865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over79c45.88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6415866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.718050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cdb…529dbacked Over54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711612.5%2 W · 14 L-5.5wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-77.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x941e…c622backed Under46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Under47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.36650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over55c38.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.513847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over55c37.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.876450%32 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under46c36.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.682360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d08…3f86backed Over69c36.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.332665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over74c34.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.931849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Over55c32.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.