TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x25e3…b729

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$189.87
Cádiz CF vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.81
SD Huesca vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$59.64
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.35
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.77
Will Burgos CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+166.2%+$79.99
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.79
CD Castellón vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$66.64
Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.52
UD Almería vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$40.07
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.52
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.07
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.87
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$34.46
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.76
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.58
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$68.71
Preston North End FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$128.07
Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.66
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$54.14
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.43
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$26.88
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.59
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$22.94
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.96
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.08
Will Pisa SC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$55.35
SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$58.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-79.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.12
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.88
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.13
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$79.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+63.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$45.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.