Asian League · resolved market
FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc57b9eae48bba97c4e96e7ecb984d0d18654377d9f4ee049873114ee89d6755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 4,779$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.87 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 31c | 1,250$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.26 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 999.44$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.82 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 28c | 881.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 34c | 860.48$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.56 | 146 | 29.5%43 W · 103 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 53c | 834.32$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.37 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 74c | 675.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 18c | 499.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 39c | 389.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 72c | 277.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 38c | 260.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 228.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 74c | 220.67$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 195.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 191.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 37c | 181.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 26c | 180$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 62c | 171.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 152.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 69c | 144.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 70c | 143.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 70c | 143.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 79c | 141.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 79c | 141.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 79c | 141.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 67c | 110.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 67c | 109.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 67c | 109.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 66c | 101.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 66c | 100.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 66c | 100.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 66c | 100.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 66c | 100.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 34c | 100.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Under | 75c | 91.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 65c | 86.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 67c | 81.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 67c | 74.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 73c | 68.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 38c | 67.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 28c | 66.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 56.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 73c | 55.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 66c | 37.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 71c | 35.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 72c | 34.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 35c | 32.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 71c | 32.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 71c | 32.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 71c | 32.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 71c | 32.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 71c | 32.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 36c | 29.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 26.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 25.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 68c | 23.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under | 69c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 69c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 69c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Under | 69c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Under | 69c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 69c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 69c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Under | 67c | 22.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Under | 67c | 22.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 74c | 19.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 70c | 18.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Under | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)FC Tōkyō won
- Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)FC Machida Zelvia won
- Spread: FC Tōkyō (-2.5)FC Machida Zelvia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.