Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e31172439a92b4f9fc2ba678fb5b642ca6705896c16d7c45452a5028ea7c81c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 30c | 1,602$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.02 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 1,554$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 11c | 894.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 74c | 719.06$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.45 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Under | 35c | 418.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 72c | 416.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 16c | 408.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 75c | 388.9$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 75c | 371.6$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 330.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 29c | 327.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Under | 63c | 319.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 28c | 265$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 67c | 240$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 22c | 228.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Under | 29c | 181.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 165.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 14c | 156$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…3ad1backed Over | 79c | 152.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 9c | 144.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 64c | 92.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Over | 65c | 92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 17c | 76.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 76c | 75.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 46c | 64.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 54.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Under | 49c | 39.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 52c | 34.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 67c | 27.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 55c | 23.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.