TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,751 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c1,710$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.0346644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over65c846.15$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under36c648.6$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.3843748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2080…6d80backed Under77c627.42$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over63c482.12$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.742161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under46c478.26$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.268048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under35c454.68$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9713243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under37c413.27$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3611055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Over56c408.93$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c392.29$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.215140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18911057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1836147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Over61c290$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.95244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over29c274.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over57c261.35$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.974818.8%9 W · 39 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c260.14$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7247850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Over64c245.26$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under37c233.42$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14811940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over44c228.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over50c224$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over57c217.23$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.822751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c214.39$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4598844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under37c211.31$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.112944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under35c196.94$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.810837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over62c148.08$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over20c138.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8416865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c136.07$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5430954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over37c135.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under35c131.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3732453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Over63c127.34$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c126.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2413049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under36c126$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.642352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Under44c113.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8af…44dcbacked Over64c110$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over59c109.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Under41c102.7$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.151942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over44c100.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1350%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over29c98.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.213946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over62c96.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over52c93.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.528853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over44c82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.884252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505066%33 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under50c76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382560%15 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under42c65.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.12161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under63c65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.974843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over29c64.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over37c64.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9110633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Under44c59.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under37c58.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.073357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under37c58.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.075754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under37c58.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.074456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under37c58.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.074355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over47c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.587254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa162…479dbacked Over73c54.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Over65c53.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ebf…09ecbacked Under40c47.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.674740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over60c37.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.292568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over29c36.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.575154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Under77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.471560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under38c32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+124.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x548a…1193backed Under38c31.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Over50c29.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.461127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over53c28.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4414060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Over37c27.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdef7…31e0backed Over64c27.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5301…a4d7backed Over64c25.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.736050%30 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdee…58e8backed Over63c24.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over55c23.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+49.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4554…827dbacked Over63c21.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over66c20.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.228353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Over63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under60c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.29683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd531…dfabbacked Over57c17.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0850%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over57c17.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1c…5650backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…edb9backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.