Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a2fc0d1b94cf4de733fa6c3eea124a42d9960daa4c5767b32a6609b8823e51a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Yes | 68c | 7,354$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 46c | 2,220$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Yes | 63c | 767$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 30c | 586.5$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.55 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 30c | 555$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 45c | 505.09$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.53 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 8c | 441.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +383.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked No | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Yes | 57c | 351.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 44c | 234.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 63c | 199.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 30c | 195.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 30c | 195.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 30c | 195.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 30c | 195.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 37c | 165$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 63c | 165$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked No | 36c | 158.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 147.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 64c | 144$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 30c | 140.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 30c | 140.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 30c | 140$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 30c | 139.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 71c | 133.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed No | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 81.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 38c | 78.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked No | 47c | 66.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed No | 39c | 60.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 30c | 60.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 44c | 59.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 63c | 56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked No | 31c | 46.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 33c | 42.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 68c | 35.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed No | 62c | 34.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 30c | 34.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 30c | 34.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 30c | 34.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 46c | 28.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 69c | 24.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 69c | 23.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…e66abacked Yes | 56c | 20.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…08a7backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.