Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c8b6b73bfccada4efd48178abefb6c3f1000b390ffd1f435f40ba28a5c38f02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 10c | 2,592$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.46 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 2,044$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.18 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…b9bebacked Over | 40c | 1,844$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 1,353$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.47 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 1,112$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.4 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…541fbacked Over | 39c | 692.57$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 33c | 607.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 39c | 539.28$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…43e6backed Over | 41c | 481.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 42c | 454.36$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 41c | 446.34$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 47c | 443.74$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 66c | 419.15$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 61c | 332.09$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 62c | 330.66$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 63c | 320.87$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 60c | 309.27$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 60c | 308.11$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 301.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 35c | 298.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Under | 69c | 295.28$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 51c | 294.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 264.01$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 60c | 238.77$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 60c | 238.77$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 58c | 222.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 63c | 211.76$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 61c | 208.03$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 60c | 162.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 37c | 152.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Under | 69c | 145.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 60c | 141$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 42c | 119.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 73c | 103.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 42c | 85.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 77.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Over | 16c | 75.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 60c | 70.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 60c | 70.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 60c | 70.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 60c | 70.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 60c | 70.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 61c | 69.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 61c | 69.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 61c | 69.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 61c | 69.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…90fdbacked Under | 60c | 59.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 55.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 36c | 39.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…7132backed Under | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 42c | 34.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 40c | 32.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 61c | 30.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 69c | 20.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 59c | 19.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.