TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x027c…b158

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
253
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Middle East, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 62 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8040%32 W · 48 L+11.5wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+83.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$98.42
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$118.26
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.51
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$16.65
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+254.3%+$177.29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+250.4%+$483.06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.6
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.09
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,059.68
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+151.8%+$29.54
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$833.77
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+166.2%+$156.72
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.75
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+172.5%+$85.46
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.79
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$85.95
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.19
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+383.2%+$82.67
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+563%+$579.14
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$122.36
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$401.28
Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$534.24
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.63
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$11.79
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.49
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.62
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.34
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$44.64
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.01
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$102.51
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.18
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.82
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.11
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.8
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+38.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$150.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$133.21
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$146.7
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.46
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$13.16
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$77.05
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.05
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.93
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of March 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$423.11
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.7
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.33
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.92
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+269.6%+$111.6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.59
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.86
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.52
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$87.15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+900%+$99
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-81.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$307.84
Claude 4.7 released by April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.78
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.55
ChatGPT Outage by April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.72
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$368.99
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.84
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.88
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.84
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Will Brentford FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.88
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.88
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick17cpaid+383.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+85.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+142.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+134.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+112.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Montréal vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.64
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+900%+$243.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+116.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$245.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,157.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+1,157.7%+$1,504.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NRFI: New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians - Completed match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $80 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.