TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked No1c4,749$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4263414.8%94 W · 540 L-1.8wins0.00per pick15cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed No4c3,657$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.498320.5%17 W · 66 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes78c1,752$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.6776821.7%167 W · 601 L-2.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-49.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed No58c1,729$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.0738828.6%111 W · 277 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes50c1,320$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.929740.2%39 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed Yes49c1,195$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.9324732.4%80 W · 167 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed No24c1,157$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9223321%49 W · 184 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed No64c957.16$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.852,55213.1%335 W · 2,217 L+4.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes36c931.86$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.1625127.1%68 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes45c681.82$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.6627920.4%57 W · 222 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes22c580.9$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.2627820.9%58 W · 220 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0f…f988backed Yes48c476.81$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.234040%16 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes48c423.82$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.2150319.5%98 W · 405 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes78c387.25$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7211421.9%25 W · 89 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes65c383.45$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7215430.5%47 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No61c377.17$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1526461.7%163 W · 101 L+0.9wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked No38c376.29$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.871,00110.5%105 W · 896 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Yes27c375.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1913031.5%41 W · 89 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc45…9c6ebacked Yes27c323.81$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.252245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb006…bddcbacked Yes35c275.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.014447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes76c246.38$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1157222%126 W · 446 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No58c239.63$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3379735.9%286 W · 511 L-34.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes29c231.57$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.510216.7%17 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No26c229.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9712114%17 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No51c204.17$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7237830.7%116 W · 262 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Yes30c203.01$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1819020.5%39 W · 151 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…3833backed Yes18c200.81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.082934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.214829.1%43 W · 105 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes12c193.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1366222.2%147 W · 515 L-34.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No56c183.61$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.751845.9%238 W · 280 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No72c183.33$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7526167%175 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes15c175$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2536018.6%67 W · 293 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes42c168.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8443027%116 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e97…4828backed Yes39c160.26$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.366627.3%18 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No40c156.83$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.781507.3%11 W · 139 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0905…99adbacked No56c150.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7610434.6%36 W · 68 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No40c150.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.072650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…85a3backed No27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+70.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed Yes57c147.25$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.943729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e5…2231backed Yes35c143.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.321421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa37a…bc60backed Yes60c141.3$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.692839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x027c…b158backed No11c136$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes16c126.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8920532.7%67 W · 138 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9955…85afbacked Yes29c124.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2918357.9%106 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed Yes23c124.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2110824.1%26 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa1…0193backed Yes76c122.08$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.384261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ecf…4455backed Yes41c120.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.351435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes60c118.47$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4299619.8%197 W · 799 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes28c114.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7314153.9%76 W · 65 L+13.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed No18c109.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.212516%4 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1a…2d83backed Yes66c89.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7045…0494backed No31c86.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1310128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes68c76.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.022755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf9…d8b9backed No65c73.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3b…c2ecbacked No27c69.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.825837.9%22 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed Yes71c68.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.135121.6%11 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f3…aa71backed Yes68c68.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.226762.7%42 W · 25 L+8.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd58c…8954backed No43c65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No46c61.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3628723.7%68 W · 219 L-46.5wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-63%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2e43…b356backed Yes20c60$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4817818.5%33 W · 145 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1556…6564backed Yes40c59.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.972944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdca…badabacked Yes50c56.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1510131.7%32 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…d98abacked No20c55.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes24c54.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.684798.6%41 W · 438 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes55c52.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9634039.7%135 W · 205 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes37c50.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.124932.9%82 W · 167 L-33.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x364f…562cbacked Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.91546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe183…3e16backed Yes66c46.86$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.818053.8%43 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x084f…551ebacked No27c46.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.36520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-75%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0603…8f62backed Yes38c45.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.242133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes58c41.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.627326%19 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0a…4c89backed No54c37.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.29850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfac…490fbacked No77c35.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.37466.2%49 W · 25 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d0…e8c6backed Yes44c33.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1713259.8%79 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59fe…14fdbacked No57c33.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.992420.8%5 W · 19 L-7.3wins-0.30per pick51cpaid-66.3%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked No41c32.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2544227.4%121 W · 321 L-21.9wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd82f…aba0backed Yes70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked No59c29.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3241220.6%85 W · 327 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x060a…fa8fbacked Yes40c28.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b2…1497backed Yes71c24.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.191060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc3f…7bc7backed No69c21.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Yes61c20.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7913038.5%50 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64df…421dbacked No72c18.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb26d…73f7backed No74c18.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.712965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked No73c14.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.484459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.