TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96ef…d98a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+152.3%+$17.17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+125.9%+$14.27
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C or higher on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or higher on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Raptors (-21.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.46
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$31.02
76ers vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.55
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+30.6%+$4.59
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+124.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick23cpaid+266.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$50.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$6.71
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$14.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+308.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+308.6%+$37.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+205.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+205.5%+$61.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$29.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlético Madrid win Copa Del Rey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$43.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Diane Parrybacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.