TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over61c69,600$42,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,41648545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under39c64,403$25,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,285.8440351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over61c6,020$3,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,648.72,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Under42c4,684$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.7264242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under40c3,977$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.441850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Over33c3,335$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.974141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c3,167$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.32,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under39c2,494$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.492,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over61c1,850$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9910066%66 W · 34 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over61c1,400$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7505444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over58c1,041$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.6342948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over30c766.13$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22941340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under39c669.56$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.2917761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over61c579.98$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.7933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013855.1%76 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under38c495$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.982353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c462.54$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.892,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c434.25$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.983,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under69c367.46$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over52c270$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.61,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under38c250$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011152.3%58 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over33c241.79$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9925345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff6…702dbacked Over18c235.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.781540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under38c230$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.683149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12212536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under40c188.49$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0956553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over24c182.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6189355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under67c179$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under69c175$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Under41c155.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.745367.9%36 W · 17 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under41c155.22$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5829448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Under39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.858555.3%47 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under39c133.09$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6586049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over62c127$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4741050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over40c126.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over57c110.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.769145.1%41 W · 50 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under38c101.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7938849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6160449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2715265.1%99 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under65c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under65c87$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4510851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under74c84.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.88349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56f…3670backed Over62c81.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.391266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe974…ac64backed Under42c79.94$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.371163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+84.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under39c79.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7410346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3597…3e48backed Under39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under39c75.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.147448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over59c74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6631448.7%153 W · 161 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over60c69.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.569457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over20c66.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.365721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Under40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.512553.6%67 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.216443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over29c58.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0721463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under68c57.46$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1810260.8%62 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Under44c57.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0310033%33 W · 67 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under40c52.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6813449.3%66 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3f…0513backed Over58c52.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.321866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0211054.5%60 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Under40c46.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.852166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under65c44.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.638551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Over59c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.962944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under39c42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6627659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1435551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Over63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.43941%16 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under35c37.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.284560%27 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under41c36.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.595650%28 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under41c34.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6138551.4%198 W · 187 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Under64c31.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1911950.4%60 W · 59 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over61c31.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0947753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.515349%75 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.68053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44e4…f624backed Over59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.727957.7%161 W · 118 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over58c29.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2445651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Under40c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.63842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5894…43cfbacked Under40c25.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154266.7%28 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Under40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8490…6882backed Under40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-53.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Under75c22.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.633366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under67c22.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.334547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc30c…55b8backed Over58c20.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…d98abacked Under73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.55580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+124.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c20.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.242,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb330…c587backed Over58c17.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.431338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under64c17.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.412152.1%63 W · 58 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…b6aebacked Over58c17.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick74cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fda…0983backed Under73c16.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under72c15.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3892049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08d6…a14cbacked Under75c15.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.