NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19627aa402662413d24759c028858053e9f22f923f2188aefcc63f512e1fa0d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 2,852$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.57 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 2,723$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 48c | 2,087$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.92 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,146$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.46 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 8c | 1,006$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 78c | 621$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 51c | 374.6$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.54 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 22c | 299.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 238.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e5…1f7cbacked Under | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd4…48c8backed Over | 45c | 215.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 47c | 215.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…1565backed Over | 45c | 214.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8b…eceabacked Over | 45c | 214.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…2401backed Under | 55c | 214$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…0ed4backed Under | 55c | 213$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3307…d5d0backed Over | 45c | 212.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…2f60backed Under | 55c | 212$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…84f3backed Under | 55c | 210$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9e…e02cbacked Over | 45c | 207.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…3f1cbacked Under | 55c | 207$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb005…c8c3backed Over | 45c | 206.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 204.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…8bdbbacked Over | 45c | 203.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…ade8backed Under | 55c | 203$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…62f3backed Over | 45c | 202.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…38ffbacked Under | 55c | 198$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…0fa3backed Over | 45c | 195.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…80c0backed Under | 55c | 195$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 53c | 194.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512d…fc94backed Under | 55c | 192$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…89dfbacked Over | 45c | 191.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Over | 11c | 159.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 51c | 146.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 41c | 133$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 118$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 47c | 58.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 72c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 52c | 50.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 51c | 48.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Under | 53c | 47.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775f…c82dbacked Over | 47c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 68c | 37.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 71c | 35.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 33.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…fe79backed Over | 49c | 25.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…b138backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Kraken vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.