TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Kraken, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$559,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$578,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1925…4654backed Kraken28c109,524$30,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,636.7811644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Kraken27c74,410$20,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,090.6722443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Golden Knights72c70,000$50,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,6001947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Kraken28c60,000$16,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,899.951,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Kraken28c55,867$15,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,801.518240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Golden Knights73c50,163$36,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,54412047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights72c41,595$29,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,647.2261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Golden Knights73c40,110$29,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,836.341850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kraken27c38,767$10,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,467.248545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Golden Knights73c24,500$17,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7303354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights71c21,000$14,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,090.0283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights73c20,263$14,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,572.112,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f5…fb4abacked Kraken28c12,174$3,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,468.531353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights68c11,593$7,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,742.751,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Golden Knights72c9,257$6,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.5151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights79c8,200$6,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.8689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Golden Knights71c7,760$5,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.84450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Kraken30c7,527$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,29032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Golden Knights73c7,200$5,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,94440356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Kraken27c7,169$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.5364242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Kraken27c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights73c6,263$4,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.012,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights73c6,000$4,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6201,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Golden Knights72c5,542$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.759450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kraken24c5,253$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.8840351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Kraken21c5,017$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.634040.3%137 W · 203 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Kraken41c4,907$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Golden Knights73c4,759$3,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Golden Knights70c4,436$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.83043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Kraken34c4,398$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.6511052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c7b…9dcabacked Golden Knights71c4,350$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Golden Knights50c4,148$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0743342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights72c4,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9939752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Golden Knights72c3,918$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.3220450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Golden Knights73c3,699$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.636758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights74c3,696$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.592,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Golden Knights71c3,527$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.887054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Kraken55c3,333$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.149562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kraken27c3,270$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.8138849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Kraken33c2,996$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.279545.3%43 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kraken38c2,718$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.363,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kraken26c2,554$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.861,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Kraken48c2,298$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.552172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Golden Knights72c2,165$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.8211047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights71c2,112$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.561,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Golden Knights50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004250%21 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Golden Knights72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Golden Knights71c1,962$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.0326750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Golden Knights73c1,956$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.187948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights64c1,900$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.952,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights67c1,820$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.061,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Golden Knights47c1,740$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.2319141.9%80 W · 111 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Golden Knights71c1,735$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.25453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Golden Knights73c1,697$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.8312552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights63c1,593$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.631,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Golden Knights73c1,548$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.9631848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Golden Knights60c1,526$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.3936948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Golden Knights71c1,512$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.681662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Golden Knights72c1,503$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.5142948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights45c1,502$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.9835551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Golden Knights71c1,458$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.645855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Kraken32c1,398$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.4627044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Golden Knights60c1,387$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.83852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kraken27c1,207$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.5476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Golden Knights66c1,180$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.8212654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Golden Knights74c1,174$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.3224952.2%130 W · 119 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Golden Knights73c1,164$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.3810663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Golden Knights68c1,129$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.610941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Golden Knights78c1,102$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Golden Knights70c1,096$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.7726154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Golden Knights74c1,014$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.74955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Kraken33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Kraken27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27011151.4%57 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Golden Knights72c999.98$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden Knights45c975.74$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.661,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Golden Knights72c972$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1683149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Golden Knights67c909.95$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5337754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Golden Knights67c896.47$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.919150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Golden Knights56c886.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.742867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Golden Knights74c877.85$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2411951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Golden Knights73c771.38$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4411251.8%58 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Golden Knights70c746.39$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.217755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e3…8c11backed Golden Knights73c708$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8c…20e4backed Kraken28c708$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Golden Knights72c691.99$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.761,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa589…96fcbacked Kraken29c642$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Golden Knights71c630$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.73253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Kraken30c621.83$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9532653.1%173 W · 153 L+18.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Kraken45c602.45$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7813850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Golden Knights71c596.9$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.131753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Golden Knights73c591.22$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6315448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Kraken34c577$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.961,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked Golden Knights53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.044942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Golden Knights72c565.16$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.011,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1a…4f77backed Kraken30c540.17$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0538645.1%174 W · 212 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Golden Knights73c533.78$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.227448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Golden Knights67c532.21$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.795444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Golden Knights70c504.29$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2947256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3188…870bbacked Kraken19c500$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.362828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Golden Knights72c499.6$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.234465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.