Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on April 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ecbec6c184bdaeccbd584e3e9af6be7ec4d9a9fbc454b5d25b20844da34c1fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 2c | 1,083$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…6459backed No | 48c | 828.87$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.67 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 7c | 473.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 469.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5208…ec3abacked Yes | 5c | 446.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 420.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 53c | 402.65$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.87 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…2080backed Yes | 5c | 378.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 6c | 356.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 10c | 332.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 57c | 290.22$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.01 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd5…922abacked Yes | 71c | 273.06$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 19c | 252.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…7080backed Yes | 18c | 246.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 57c | 212.48$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…f7d8backed Yes | 10c | 204.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 40c | 188.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…41afbacked Yes | 5c | 186.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 11c | 163.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 60c | 160.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Yes | 9c | 158.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -19.1wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…f673backed Yes | 30c | 158.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 61c | 155.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 51c | 152.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 57c | 125.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 47c | 121.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…e18cbacked Yes | 47c | 106.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 18c | 102.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…56a7backed Yes | 12c | 100.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 164 | 12.2%20 W · 144 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 62c | 98.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 47c | 87.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…55c4backed Yes | 63c | 82.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 20c | 80.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9954…b725backed No | 35c | 80.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 54c | 76.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…dd39backed Yes | 63c | 75.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked No | 44c | 74.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 60c | 71.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…d40fbacked Yes | 69c | 66.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…9808backed No | 76c | 64.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 92 | 77.2%71 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 26c | 62.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd731…4199backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 73.9%68 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3442…91dcbacked No | 49c | 58.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…2407backed No | 43c | 56.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2427…52a2backed No | 41c | 55.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…e888backed Yes | 64c | 54.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…0805backed No | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e2…e5f5backed No | 51c | 52.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e36…1f39backed Yes | 55c | 51.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 46c | 49.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…ff74backed No | 34c | 48.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 46.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 74c | 45.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9611…f9aabacked Yes | 60c | 43.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 35c | 40.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 47c | 40.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 71c | 38.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 43c | 37.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…6291backed Yes | 36c | 37.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…75f6backed Yes | 35c | 34.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 165 | 18.2%30 W · 135 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb21…d685backed Yes | 65c | 30.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…6441backed No | 66c | 29.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…f366backed No | 42c | 29.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…e1aabacked No | 37c | 28.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…d98abacked No | 40c | 28.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 46c | 26.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3827…5455backed Yes | 55c | 26.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 59c | 25.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 40c | 25.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…2909backed Yes | 49c | 23.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d2…5621backed No | 74c | 23.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d76…89c6backed Yes | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 59c | 21.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…2822backed Yes | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 62c | 18.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Yes | 68c | 15.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…7850backed No | 80c | 13.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on April 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on April 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.