TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13e1…0805

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst Movies at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT4856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+59%+$6.12
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+55%+$9.88
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$29.21
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$11.32
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.91
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.68
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$17.8
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.45
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+502.4%+$100.08
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55%+$5.68
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.2
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.7
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.8
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$9.26
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.82
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.36
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-71.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.31
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.67
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$21.25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.92
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$68.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-81.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+105%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$60.82
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$38
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$23.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.