TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes22c46,868$10,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,310.933638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c15,590$12,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,368.684,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…e349backed Yes23c13,096$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes22c10,332$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.041050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f56…173abacked No78c8,206$6,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…332cbacked Yes22c8,180$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes22c7,999$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.8824147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No77c6,346$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.915750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No77c6,186$4,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.0427453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec7…4723backed Yes22c5,470$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8b…aa7ebacked Yes21c5,119$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes18c5,004$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.715253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa409…b250backed Yes22c4,550$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd0…0f3fbacked No78c4,102$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes21c3,497$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.439536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No79c3,217$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.2430743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No77c2,937$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.779450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed No80c2,928$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.041526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No79c2,623$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.6950243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes21c2,573$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5507045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3d…afd7backed No78c2,565$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb48c…4c3cbacked No78c2,565$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes22c2,451$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.171735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes22c2,011$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.3710956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9467…fc3ebacked Yes22c1,825$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ce…7fa9backed Yes23c1,748$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c1,566$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.153242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e6…96e3backed Yes24c1,476$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7581…9679backed Yes23c1,310$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes18c1,300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes18c1,289$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d8…a159backed No78c1,284$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd564…d3a9backed No78c1,283$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed No79c1,269$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.792157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes21c1,236$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.961546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes18c1,206$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes22c1,159$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9912338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes22c1,137$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb841…3cfbbacked No78c1,082$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec0…5a19backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-60.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6170…41d3backed Yes22c976.3$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes21c965.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc358…2ac9backed Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes23c817.61$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.792138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2565…835fbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5be…ce46backed No79c759.49$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes8c710$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0626930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes21c697.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes24c669.26$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.74825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes16c590$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.86333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No75c543.49$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8725648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes17c542.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4511819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15df…9465backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d77…b7bebacked Yes21c505.62$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.182729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes18c502.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.497445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfb…2398backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x897d…686ebacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03a6…1198backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102030%6 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-56.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x33c5…2230backed Yes20c492.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c75…e37dbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe532…f9b9backed Yes23c443$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…39f9backed Yes23c440.26$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e12…1c24backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbd…65fabacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9432…5aa5backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+83.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Yes23c430.87$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd315…3aa0backed Yes23c426.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa585…a793backed No78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7540…46dbbacked Yes22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes22c400$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e1…0805backed Yes27c372.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes22c357$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5412050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes19c347.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes23c346.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.622835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be7…8d02backed Yes19c318.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick31cpaid-79.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xacd9…f7bdbacked Yes22c302.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…2078backed Yes23c287.22$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75f…2687backed Yes21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No78c277$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.941414.3%2 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes22c277$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.941533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20d1…5ce2backed Yes21c276.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ec…7158backed Yes19c260.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes22c260$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.23627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes20c260$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a34…4bbdbacked Yes20c254.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.