TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,512,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,801,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,512,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 945 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No42c194,724$82,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,049.234,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Yes72c119,643$86,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,481.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes52c117,170$60,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,279.788957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ff6…a199backed Yes52c100,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,999.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No48c91,009$43,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,361.179028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes49c62,607$30,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,932.47475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No48c52,328$25,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,075.053638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Yes51c50,000$25,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,499.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No50c48,601$24,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,150.099450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes51c47,974$24,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,520.965841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7902…170cbacked Yes72c34,292$24,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,634.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+119.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f48…6a49backed Yes52c26,939$14,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,930.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No48c25,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x800f…3586backed Yes50c20,152$9,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,156.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6003441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,399.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes53c16,981$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,981.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes52c16,782$8,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,055.361050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No43c15,649$6,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,789.0527453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes51c14,800$7,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,204742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes79c12,402$9,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.5614067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No44c12,367$5,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,462.645253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed No49c10,759$5,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,283.561526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes52c9,611$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,613.074235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes52c8,631$4,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,142.771656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No50c8,536$4,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,233.6515750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No40c8,213$3,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,288.6330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0006944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d3b…4253backed No4c7,950$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed No50c7,000$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,527.931643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes77c6,904$5,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.7824147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked No49c6,900$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe300…8a97backed No49c6,897$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Yes54c6,668$3,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes53c6,009$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a4…fd19backed Yes51c5,973$3,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49bb…1e57backed No49c5,973$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Yes52c5,943$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,852.642138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked No42c5,880$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Yes52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes52c5,000$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.771250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Yes50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1034…b26dbacked Yes52c4,798$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c4,663$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.593,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535c…96babacked Yes50c4,659$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No33c4,631$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.6812050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No37c4,345$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.327445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09e1…82a6backed Yes54c4,301$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No48c4,150$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9929625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0778…1276backed No49c4,000$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.98560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No38c3,988$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.2855941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e63…3ea8backed Yes50c3,740$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No50c3,600$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes74c3,534$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes71c3,472$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.291662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No27c3,358$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.6429038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes78c3,339$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.042250%11 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No11c3,215$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.655143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No50c3,180$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.889459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7647…9f44backed Yes54c3,025$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No48c3,003$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.379536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No51c2,964$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.289154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed No41c2,917$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a1…6ecebacked Yes52c2,883$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0971…83abbacked Yes74c2,828$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4f…1c0bbacked Yes75c2,800$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes47c2,675$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.754959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dff…5431backed Yes53c2,630$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28c9…5769backed No2c2,538$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7463…327fbacked Yes77c2,530$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes50c2,472$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.141747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79ff…1603backed Yes55c2,347$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…eeccbacked Yes59c2,320$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.431330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick60cpaid-53.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No48c2,279$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.914753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6136…f535backed No52c2,265$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No26c2,159$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.64344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c2,101$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.1325872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d46…e060backed Yes72c2,089$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes67c2,019$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.343050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes48c2,001$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.385040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Yes52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9604141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes52c2,000$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9653540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x013b…21e8backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94025648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9805058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9713845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1b5…c2c8backed Yes52c1,919$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed No51c1,898$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb37d…b5b3backed Yes53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes49c1,860$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.2353242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7756…3c29backed No49c1,845$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7efc…9dc5backed No49c1,837$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa22…d532backed No49c1,837$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.