TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe300…8a97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 62 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.71
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.91
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$94.22
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.51
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.87
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.44
Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.87
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+85.2%+$69
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+150%+$291
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+185.7%+$195
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$765
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+99.5%+$38.47
Will Brentford vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.91
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$387.57
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Will Manchester United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$127.59
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+150%+$314.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+50.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$55.03
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$923.03
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will G2 win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+961%+$275.11
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$213.16
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30.21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,153.26
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$228
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.45
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.51per pick35cpaid+278.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+120.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$67.57
Will Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$57.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+117.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+194.1%+$97.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+163.2%+$2,479.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$103.25
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Greece vs Israelbacked Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$239.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virginia Tech vs. South Carolinabacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.