TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,134,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,134,834 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,892 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes21c334,427$71,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262,729.8829846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes19c199,211$37,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,306.9913245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c150,784$88,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,489.1758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes30c108,284$32,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,886.0416136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c104,201$82,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,090.331,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes40c80,712$32,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,484.788155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed No33c67,228$22,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,012.631643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c56,576$19,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,953.161,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes57c55,895$31,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,227.575145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes16c55,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,999.982142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No77c50,242$38,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,655.6226047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes47c50,115$23,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,588.4710736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No77c46,687$35,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,981.3110849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No60c45,649$27,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,232.662552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes60c38,957$23,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,592.673348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes16c37,500$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,5001926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes66c37,246$24,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,741.2134342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes17c30,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,9008740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes17c28,000$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,2401855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No76c25,220$19,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,263.3224742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2227…57eabacked Yes17c23,243$4,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,188.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+267.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Yes17c22,348$3,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,630.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes16c20,654$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,386.8313843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Yes17c20,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,699.63837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes16c20,000$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,829.655347.2%25 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes38c18,802$7,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,705.233857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes16c18,399$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,487.2529136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes17c17,831$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,740.4329350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes27c16,501$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,000.793735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe166…8f14backed Yes18c15,403$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,703742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+57.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Yes70c15,155$10,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,546.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca87…8e3dbacked Yes17c15,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,450425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc821…6a7ebacked Yes17c14,707$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,207.25425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No79c13,985$11,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,086.9612352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No18c12,701$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.4820343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes15c12,660$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,761.3826645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes25c11,814$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,814.221163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes17c11,765$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,764.711931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6431…ab69backed Yes41c11,350$4,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,697.971163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No77c10,881$8,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,336.920948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c10,731$6,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,713.9446048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes37c10,385$3,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,531.883060%18 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes16c10,300$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,611.993850%19 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Yes40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…3b5abacked Yes16c10,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No30c9,751$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.2338935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes43c9,748$4,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,579.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No40c9,677$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,864.388523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes25c9,284$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,003.484946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes17c8,824$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,323.533225%8 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f07…f1bcbacked No59c8,640$5,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,137.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No67c8,391$5,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,588.016666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Yes10c8,347$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,541.65837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick15cpaid+95.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes19c8,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,479.946952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x122c…b48fbacked Yes40c7,964$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,757.461435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes24c7,843$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,932.9544033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No60c7,803$4,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,684.78840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes20c7,668$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,134.43429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No80c7,558$6,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,014.712231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes22c6,995$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,462.4416327%44 W · 119 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes21c6,953$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,518.143828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d8…0c91backed Yes42c6,620$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,855.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes33c6,359$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,289.475628.6%16 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No56c6,324$3,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,545.741921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-65.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x269f…c358backed No0c6,275$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.05425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-68.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Yes19c6,085$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,928.642236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No3c6,043$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.944242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+403.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes17c6,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9801926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332f…b8b6backed Yes17c6,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,980250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes17c6,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9802138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes17c6,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,009.994358.1%25 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Yes17c5,882$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,882.351233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9f…3282backed Yes17c5,882$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,882.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+122.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes17c5,882$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,882.351050%5 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+65.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b0f…52c9backed Yes65c5,732$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fb…32c7backed Yes44c5,572$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.9333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No61c5,477$3,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.6660136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked Yes19c5,388$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,368.161266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+70.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Yes16c5,328$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+88.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes16c5,180$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,351.23551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes18c5,154$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,207.9827236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5424…b09bbacked Yes20c5,152$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,122.271650%8 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes17c5,129$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,263.415630.4%17 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7655…1fa8backed Yes17c4,900$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0661118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes17c4,706$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,905.881566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes18c4,639$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,789.37616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed Yes27c4,625$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.522045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes19c4,611$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.082536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae46…7889backed Yes27c4,588$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.892626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes26c4,518$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.844440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed Yes68c4,419$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.511618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes68c4,413$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.652763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Yes16c4,370$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,670.81533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes17c4,353$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,618.852420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes72c4,300$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.094365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0004…80c7backed Yes19c4,275$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,463.13850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yes53c4,153$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.242065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes17c4,050$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,361.540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes27c4,023$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.441338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.