Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02a64b7c7ddb3f8fa184e42f4f00e005bf28c183c756fe2712b15ea033cf275b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,530,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,530,978 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 32c | 389,655$125,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263,926.45 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 68c | 206,000$140,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,080 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Yes | 68c | 145,000$98,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,600 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 68c | 109,888$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,000 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 67c | 88,274$59,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,143.43 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 68c | 83,284$56,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,633.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 32c | 81,453$26,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,387.94 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed No | 33c | 74,222$24,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,728.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 68c | 72,692$49,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,430.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 33c | 69,509$22,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,893.85 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 67c | 59,848$40,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,097.9 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 66c | 53,679$35,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,268.58 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…8e62backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 33c | 50,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,500 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 32c | 33,335$10,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,761.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,799.99 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 35c | 29,997$10,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,586.81 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 24,904$15,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,126.91 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 35c | 22,999$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,889.42 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 58c | 22,722$13,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,222.89 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 40c | 20,219$8,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,076.83 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed No | 33c | 20,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…9d5ebacked No | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,599.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No | 34c | 19,993$6,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,095.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 67c | 19,631$13,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,152.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 32c | 19,000$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,919.99 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 33c | 18,144$6,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,141.48 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 16,271$12,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.82 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 67c | 16,000$10,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,719.92 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 32c | 15,725$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,693.22 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 33c | 15,611$5,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,459.37 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…ab69backed Yes | 67c | 15,000$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 32c | 14,835$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,087.87 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 62c | 14,569$9,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,526.8 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 14,120$5,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,865.71 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 65c | 12,100$7,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,865 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 32c | 12,000$3,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,134.8 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 70c | 10,272$7,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.38 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 73c | 9,944$7,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.87 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 32c | 9,916$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,742.77 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 33c | 9,400$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,335.88 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Yes | 33c | 9,027$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 35c | 9,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2294backed Yes | 69c | 8,638$5,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,960 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 15c | 8,627$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.16 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 8,558$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.78 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 21c | 7,813$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 66c | 7,647$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.67 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 67c | 7,500$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 67c | 7,300$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 70c | 6,800$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 17c | 6,724$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.03 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 58c | 6,666$3,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,892.01 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 34c | 6,666$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.56 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.95 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed No | 72c | 5,977$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 47c | 5,919$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.32 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 27c | 5,494$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 15c | 5,187$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.83 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 35c | 5,166$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,371.93 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 59c | 5,098$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed Yes | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 33c | 5,000$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.75 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Yes | 67c | 4,999$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,362.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes | 24c | 4,900$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 67c | 4,698$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.05 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Yes | 14c | 4,600$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 14cpaid | +405.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 32c | 4,510$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Yes | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 32c | 4,330$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 34c | 4,327$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.08 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 33c | 4,324$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.08 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 33c | 4,061$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.61 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Yes | 68c | 4,053$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 65c | 3,967$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.35 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 32c | 3,842$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.88 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 60c | 3,793$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.14 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Yes | 68c | 3,742$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes | 68c | 3,698$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 19c | 3,680$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 33c | 3,350$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 68c | 3,335$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.24 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 67c | 3,333$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.13 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 57c | 3,260$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.04 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…250abacked Yes | 27c | 3,223$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 16c | 3,221$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.63 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked No | 32c | 3,140$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…fd37backed No | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 68c | 3,009$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.82 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?this page
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.