TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b07…96fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT464.3%2 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.51
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+379.3%+$639.99
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.47
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.69
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.1
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.32
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.34
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.74
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$142.68
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$65.71
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$112.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$227.75
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99.36
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$71.47
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$541.96
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$150.4
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.27per pick14cpaid+405.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+2,724.2%+$2,100.86
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.34
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,131.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$721.91
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+1,902.4%+$954.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+442.9%+$1,455.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$214.5
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$172
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+429.8%+$649
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$338
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid+316.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090.26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$446
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$607
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,070.2
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.73
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+3,228.4%+$19,360.62
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$776.23
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+52.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+124.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$78.52
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.89
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$98.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$47.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,153.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.