CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5b4c8942e7b985f6a93a2f0703898460a435aecec7a96b91bbae23a97eb4af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,251 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked FUT Esports | 50c | 30,017$15,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,008.53 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 17,155$8,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,748.88 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked FUT Esports | 41c | 14,000$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,740 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 11,587$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,956.98 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 10,936$6,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,483.93 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 10,540$5,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 9,971$4,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,042.23 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 9,479$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,739.5 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 9,104$4,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.96 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked FUT Esports | 32c | 9,050$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.96 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed FUT Esports | 49c | 8,800$4,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,312.18 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed FUT Esports | 17c | 8,304$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.86 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 7,020$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.51 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…ac7cbacked FUT Esports | 10c | 5,715$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 5,685$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.88 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked FUT Esports | 1c | 5,157$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports | 19c | 5,058$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.53 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,924$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked FUT Esports | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,883$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.91 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 2,779$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.01 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,559$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.82 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,335$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.15 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked FUT Esports | 27c | 2,237$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.2 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,186$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.38 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked FUT Esports | 33c | 2,011$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.46 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,006$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.23 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports | 15c | 2,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.54 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed FUT Esports | 8c | 1,667$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed FUT Esports | 13c | 1,482$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed FUT Esports | 3c | 1,441$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed FUT Esports | 50c | 1,357$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed FUT Esports | 30c | 1,347$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,145$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.05 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports | 31c | 1,122$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.08 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed FUT Esports | 2c | 1,030$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,000$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.03 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +14.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked FUT Esports | 13c | 960$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed FUT Esports | 7c | 959$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 914.47$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.5 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed FUT Esports | 39c | 830.43$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 816$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked FUT Esports | 2c | 800$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 792.03$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.12 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed FUT Esports | 48c | 739.71$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.06 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 682.54$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.41 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 620.4$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.41 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed FUT Esports | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed FUT Esports | 50c | 548.22$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.66 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aeb…01c2backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Esports | 37c | 452.35$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.09 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed FUT Esports | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fe…9f1ebacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 394.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed FUT Esports | 16c | 364.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports | 49c | 359.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked FUT Esports | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…4806backed FUT Esports | 49c | 256.62$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed FUT Esports | 50c | 256$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 253.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…8966backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 242.18$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed FUT Esports | 6c | 240$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 221.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked FUT Esports | 23c | 221.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked FUT Esports | 9c | 205$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FUT Esports | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed FUT Esports | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…a779backed FUT Esports | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed FUT Esports | 52c | 193.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Esports | 25c | 177.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…5d64backed FUT Esports | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…2385backed FUT Esports | 10c | 176.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 175.94$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…768cbacked FUT Esports | 41c | 169.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed FUT Esports | 7c | 168.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed FUT Esports | 24c | 164.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…1a9dbacked FUT Esports | 15c | 163.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed FUT Esports | 47c | 158.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FUT Esports | 35c | 155.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed FUT Esports | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 136$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 134.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked FUT Esports | 11c | 131.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 115$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x909c…0b61backed FUT Esports | 18c | 113.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…75aabacked FUT Esports | 23c | 110.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed FUT Esports | 11c | 101.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.