CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1be220f9201ca85653e9274a5d5f597a5ec79e9e97ec1c6f64e4e82e142fbc5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Natus Vincere, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $907,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $907,315 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b55…5102backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 35,590$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 28,573$18,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,094.97 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed FUT Esports | 35c | 21,258$7,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,780.59 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 20,120$13,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,079.2 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed FUT Esports | 37c | 18,802$6,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,845.26 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 14,746$9,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,390.11 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 12,571$7,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,530.67 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed FUT Esports | 42c | 11,013$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,387.97 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports | 33c | 10,474$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,006.98 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked FUT Esports | 36c | 10,223$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,522.42 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 9,987$6,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,292.01 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…ac7cbacked FUT Esports | 25c | 8,863$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,665.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FUT Esports | 47c | 8,408$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.14 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed FUT Esports | 37c | 8,201$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.44 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked FUT Esports | 21c | 7,935$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,289.08 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked FUT Esports | 37c | 6,869$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.17 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 6,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…b2cabacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 5,800$3,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 5,660$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,707.15 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…a4a1backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 5,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 2cpaid | +2,035.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FUT Esports | 46c | 5,300$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.16 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports | 42c | 4,551$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 4,466$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.23 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 4,320$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.81 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 4,280$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.39 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 4,199$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 4,193$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.94 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FUT Esports | 35c | 4,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.97 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FUT Esports | 50c | 3,999$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.65 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 3,988$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.3 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 3,535$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 3,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FUT Esports | 19c | 3,455$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.83 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 3,100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed FUT Esports | 36c | 2,790$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.67 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,779$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.91 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed FUT Esports | 35c | 2,739$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.36 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked FUT Esports | 28c | 2,689$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.56 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed FUT Esports | 59c | 2,650$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 2,600$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…544abacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 2,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,500$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed FUT Esports | 50c | 2,500$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.92 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports | 34c | 2,450$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.74 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,321$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.51 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 2,300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 2,200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 2,100$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked FUT Esports | 16c | 2,033$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.47 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked FUT Esports | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,949$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,822$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.33 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked FUT Esports | 48c | 1,785$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.42 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FUT Esports | 31c | 1,750$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.5 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,636$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.94 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports | 15c | 1,620$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed FUT Esports | 15c | 1,618$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.04 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed FUT Esports | 22c | 1,570$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.97 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FUT Esports | 23c | 1,562$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.4 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,529$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.11 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,501$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.01 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29e…d14fbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,491$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,444$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.43 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports | 37c | 1,384$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.96 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 1,260$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 1,260$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,248$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.01 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed FUT Esports | 26c | 1,231$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.77 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,227$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,079$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,028$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.61 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,000$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.09 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed FUT Esports | 26c | 1,000$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.2 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aeb…01c2backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…4806backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 927.92$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.87 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 910$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.4 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 900$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +191%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed FUT Esports | 45c | 896.62$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.62 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FUT Esports | 20c | 853.86$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.19 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed FUT Esports | 36c | 828.09$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.02 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 825$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed FUT Esports | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FUT Esports | 39c | 740.23$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.52 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 711.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed FUT Esports | 35c | 700.28$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.36 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 615.73$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.9 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed FUT Esports | 36c | 614.75$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.