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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,993,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,993,959 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 917 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked FUT Esports44c200,263$88,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,110.4542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere56c104,951$58,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,286.031,74047%817 W · 923 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere74c62,796$46,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,518.0935850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked FUT Esports46c54,400$25,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,02439249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports40c47,468$19,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,148.4183652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed FUT Esports16c46,232$7,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,218.2230640.2%123 W · 183 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Natus Vincere54c40,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,399.9841749.9%208 W · 209 L+20.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1230…8e43backed FUT Esports0c39,814$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.62334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked FUT Esports44c30,925$13,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,547.797147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Natus Vincere56c30,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,20015245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports45c30,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,499.9177957.4%447 W · 332 L+1.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere57c29,646$16,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,789.7482251.6%424 W · 398 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Natus Vincere55c26,936$14,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,010.197256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked FUT Esports22c24,856$5,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,386.1522927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed FUT Esports45c24,523$11,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,109.9821548.4%104 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Natus Vincere56c22,797$12,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,030.6419757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere57c21,621$12,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,228.2312649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked FUT Esports14c21,199$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.4612736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c62…2693backed Natus Vincere56c21,183$11,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,320.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a3…c965backed FUT Esports0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Natus Vincere54c18,666$10,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,586.1322049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports27c16,665$4,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,547.191,63444.7%731 W · 903 L+4.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FUT Esports44c15,961$7,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,017.0982543%355 W · 470 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Natus Vincere57c15,250$8,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,589.9914954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Natus Vincere56c15,184$8,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,630.347146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed FUT Esports45c14,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.983158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports44c14,000$6,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,219.8576150.7%386 W · 375 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Natus Vincere54c13,104$7,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,027.9412552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere54c12,500$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,749.9667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FUT Esports36c12,313$4,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,418.139248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked FUT Esports43c11,628$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.951464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere56c10,743$6,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,726.8646750.1%234 W · 233 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked FUT Esports46c10,258$4,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,718.8212429%36 W · 88 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere56c10,000$5,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,44046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed FUT Esports46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60019645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FUT Esports44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9937946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FUT Esports43c9,072$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,901.1172453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked FUT Esports44c9,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cbc…a37bbacked Natus Vincere58c8,552$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,553.645468.5%37 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed FUT Esports1c8,541$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1238844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Natus Vincere76c7,731$5,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.1329858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere61c7,499$4,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.012,24447.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L-4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Natus Vincere57c7,000$3,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.959723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FUT Esports44c7,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.9723845.4%108 W · 130 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Natus Vincere57c6,780$3,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.2826045.8%119 W · 141 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Natus Vincere66c6,620$4,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.7712449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked FUT Esports28c6,472$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.1436245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked FUT Esports48c6,001$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.6560639.9%242 W · 364 L-14.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked FUT Esports46c5,747$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.7927947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Natus Vincere68c5,418$3,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.043452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Natus Vincere47c5,331$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.436245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports47c5,274$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.115,13755%2,826 W · 2,311 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.1620458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Natus Vincere56c5,250$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,31035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere58c5,156$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.2632848.8%160 W · 168 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Natus Vincere63c5,113$3,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.688951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FUT Esports36c5,000$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81042341.8%177 W · 246 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.9772446.4%336 W · 388 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed FUT Esports20c4,968$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9757755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere63c4,852$3,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.191,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed FUT Esports22c4,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked FUT Esports44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked FUT Esports45c4,500$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.9927133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7927…33cfbacked Natus Vincere57c4,454$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.22887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x983c…ac7cbacked FUT Esports45c4,413$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x065d…f0f1backed Natus Vincere57c4,386$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.961464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba3…5367backed Natus Vincere57c4,371$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Natus Vincere72c4,324$3,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21117945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere63c4,170$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.663,26250.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L+97.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Natus Vincere56c4,000$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.5957358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed Natus Vincere48c4,000$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.4710663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked FUT Esports69c3,928$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,722.343762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere67c3,818$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.8487046%400 W · 470 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0945…b9bdbacked FUT Esports17c3,768$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed FUT Esports41c3,681$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b07…4409backed Natus Vincere57c3,654$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.221464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed FUT Esports38c3,644$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.5545848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed FUT Esports44c3,518$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.777152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Natus Vincere57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.774459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed9d…8301backed Natus Vincere57c3,495$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.852356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked FUT Esports28c3,424$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.6227452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed FUT Esports15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d5…71a1backed FUT Esports44c3,278$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Natus Vincere55c3,249$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.0917240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports33c3,167$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.8390347.2%426 W · 477 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports35c3,144$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.653,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Natus Vincere55c3,091$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.919258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports30c3,077$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.295,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Natus Vincere56c3,060$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.4836450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed FUT Esports8c3,030$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.145349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere54c3,001$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.4579740%319 W · 478 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed FUT Esports18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402520%5 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed FUT Esports16c3,000$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.8718724.1%45 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb29e…d14fbacked FUT Esports44c2,904$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked FUT Esports42c2,783$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.219348.4%45 W · 48 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed FUT Esports41c2,768$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.6380744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa850…f1babacked FUT Esports43c2,675$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.253237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports28c2,639$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.521,62745.7%743 W · 884 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed FUT Esports76c2,609$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.613044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FUT Esports44c2,553$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.562,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.