CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x056e5327893e1488134b69ef7bff7c600219227939211974645e1f6ac1da0735
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,993,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,993,959 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 917 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked FUT Esports | 44c | 200,263$88,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,110.45 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 104,951$58,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,286.03 | 1,740 | 47%817 W · 923 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 62,796$46,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,518.09 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked FUT Esports | 46c | 54,400$25,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,024 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports | 40c | 47,468$19,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,148.41 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed FUT Esports | 16c | 46,232$7,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,218.22 | 306 | 40.2%123 W · 183 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,399.98 | 417 | 49.9%208 W · 209 L | +20.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed FUT Esports | 0c | 39,814$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked FUT Esports | 44c | 30,925$13,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,547.79 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,499.91 | 779 | 57.4%447 W · 332 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 29,646$16,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,789.74 | 822 | 51.6%424 W · 398 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 26,936$14,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,010.19 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked FUT Esports | 22c | 24,856$5,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,386.15 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed FUT Esports | 45c | 24,523$11,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,109.98 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 22,797$12,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,030.64 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 21,621$12,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,228.23 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked FUT Esports | 14c | 21,199$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.46 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c62…2693backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 21,183$11,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,320.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…c965backed FUT Esports | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 18,666$10,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,586.13 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports | 27c | 16,665$4,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,547.19 | 1,634 | 44.7%731 W · 903 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FUT Esports | 44c | 15,961$7,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,017.09 | 825 | 43%355 W · 470 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 15,250$8,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,589.99 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 15,184$8,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630.34 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed FUT Esports | 45c | 14,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.98 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports | 44c | 14,000$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,219.85 | 761 | 50.7%386 W · 375 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 13,104$7,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,027.94 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.96 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed FUT Esports | 36c | 12,313$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.1 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked FUT Esports | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 10,743$6,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.86 | 467 | 50.1%234 W · 233 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked FUT Esports | 46c | 10,258$4,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.82 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 10,000$5,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed FUT Esports | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed FUT Esports | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed FUT Esports | 43c | 9,072$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.11 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked FUT Esports | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…a37bbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 8,552$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.64 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed FUT Esports | 1c | 8,541$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 7,731$5,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.13 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 7,499$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.01 | 2,244 | 47.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 7,000$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.95 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.97 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 6,780$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.28 | 260 | 45.8%119 W · 141 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 6,620$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.77 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked FUT Esports | 28c | 6,472$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.14 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked FUT Esports | 48c | 6,001$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.65 | 606 | 39.9%242 W · 364 L | -14.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked FUT Esports | 46c | 5,747$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.79 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 5,418$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.04 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 5,331$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.43 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 47c | 5,274$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.11 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 5,250$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 5,156$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.26 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 5,113$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.68 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed FUT Esports | 36c | 5,000$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.97 | 724 | 46.4%336 W · 388 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed FUT Esports | 20c | 4,968$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 4,852$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.19 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed FUT Esports | 22c | 4,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 32.9%55 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 4,500$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.99 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…33cfbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 4,454$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…ac7cbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 4,413$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x065d…f0f1backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…5367backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 4,371$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 4,324$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 4,170$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.66 | 3,262 | 50.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L | +97.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 4,000$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.59 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 4,000$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.47 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked FUT Esports | 69c | 3,928$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.34 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 3,818$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.84 | 870 | 46%400 W · 470 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0945…b9bdbacked FUT Esports | 17c | 3,768$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed FUT Esports | 41c | 3,681$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…4409backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 3,654$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed FUT Esports | 38c | 3,644$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.55 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed FUT Esports | 44c | 3,518$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.77 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…8301backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 3,495$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked FUT Esports | 28c | 3,424$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.62 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed FUT Esports | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…71a1backed FUT Esports | 44c | 3,278$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 3,249$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.09 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports | 33c | 3,167$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.83 | 903 | 47.2%426 W · 477 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports | 35c | 3,144$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.65 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 3,091$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.91 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports | 30c | 3,077$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.29 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 3,060$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.48 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed FUT Esports | 8c | 3,030$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.14 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,001$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.45 | 797 | 40%319 W · 478 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed FUT Esports | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed FUT Esports | 16c | 3,000$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.87 | 187 | 24.1%45 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29e…d14fbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 2,904$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 2,783$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.21 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FUT Esports | 41c | 2,768$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.63 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked FUT Esports | 43c | 2,675$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports | 28c | 2,639$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.52 | 1,627 | 45.7%743 W · 884 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed FUT Esports | 76c | 2,609$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.6 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 2,553$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.56 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.