TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7927…33cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,971Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$728.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,539Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,915.22
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,512Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,287.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,612.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+259.9%+$1,971.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$110
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$115.52
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$37.4
Kings vs. Penguinsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$102.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100.53
Bowling vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Bowling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$63
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.36
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Steven Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$374
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,123.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,971.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.